Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Odds and Game Preview – July 7

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 7, 2023

A pair of the WNBA’s top scorers match up — Napheesa Collier (third, 22.6 points per game) and Brittney Griner (fifth, 19.8) — when the Minnesota Lynx (8-9) host the Phoenix Mercury (3-13) on July 7, 2023 on ION.

Keep reading to find the best bets you can make on Friday’s game, based on our computer predictions.

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Spread: Mercury (-5) to Cover

  • The line for this game set by DraftKings and the model’s prediction are essentially the same (within 0.0 points of each other).
  • So far this year, the Mercury have compiled a 4-11-0 record against the spread.
  • Phoenix has a 1-3 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 5 points or more this year.
  • The Lynx have a 9-6-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Minnesota is winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 5-point favorites.

Think the Mercury will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 161.5

  • In this game, the model projects a total (165.9 points) a little higher than the DraftKings over/under (161.5 points).
  • This season, the Lynx games have finished over 161.5 points scored, their current matchup’s point total, eight (out of 15) times.
  • This season, 10 of Phoenix’s 15 games have had a combined total higher than 161.5 points scored.
  • Out of the Lynx’s 15 games with a set total, seven have hit the over (46.7%).
  • Nine of the Mercury’s 15 games with a set total have hit the over (60%).

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Lynx (-200)

  • Prediction: Lynx 85, Mercury 80
  • Minnesota has won 40% of its games this season as a moneyline favorite (2-3).

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Lynx Leaders

  • The Lynx leader in points and rebounds is Collier, who scores 22.6 points and grabs 7.8 boards per game.
  • Lindsay Allen is Minnesota’s best passer, distributing 4.1 assists per game while scoring 5.4 PPG.
  • The Lynx get the most three-point shooting production out of Kayla McBride, who knocks down 2.1 threes per game.
  • Collier is a standout on the defensive end for Minnesota, leading the team in steals with 1.7 per game and blocks with 1.2 per contest.

Lynx Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Jessica Shepard Out Illness
Aerial Powers Out Ankle
Tiffany Mitchell Out Wrist
Natalie Achonwa Out Personal

Mercury Leaders

  • Griner racks up 19.8 points per game and is the top scorer for the Mercury.
  • The Phoenix leaders in rebounding and assists are Brianna Turner with 5.9 rebounds per game (he also adds 3.3 points and 1.4 assists per game) and Sug Sutton with 5.0 assists per game (he also tacks on 9.8 points and 2.4 rebounds per game).
  • Diana Taurasi is reliable from three-point range and leads the Mercury with 2.2 made threes per game.
  • Phoenix’s leader in steals is Turner (0.9 per game), and its leader in blocks is Griner (2.1 per game).

Mercury Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Skylar Diggins-Smith Out Personal

All stats in this article refer to the 2023 regular season.

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