This week, the PGA TOUR heads to Greensboro, North Carolina for the Wyndham Championship. Golfers will have just one last chance to qualify for the Fedex Cup next week.
The Wyndham Championship is hosted at Sedgefield Country club. Sedgefield CC is a par 70 course that measures 7,127 yards. This has been the easiest par 70 course over the past two seasons so expect plenty of scoring opportunities this week.
KEY STATS:
Birdie or Better Conversion %
Greens in Regulation %
Proximity 150-175 yards
As always, SG:T2G, SG:Putting and Course History will all be sprinkled in to help us figure out which golfers to target from week to week.
$TUD PLAYS:
Patrick Reed $12,200
Odds To Win: 14-1
Expected Ownership: 13%
I could be off here but I am not expecting a ton of people to be on Reed this week. Because of the pricing, it is tough to pay that much salary for Reed even in this field. There is also seven other very good golfers priced above 10K this week. I am hoping most people save the salary and avoid Reed making him a great play in both cash and GPPs. Reed got his first TOUR win here back in 2013 and followed it up with a top 25 two seasons ago. He ranks in the top 10 this season in SG:Around-The-Green and is coming into this week with six straight top 15 finishes worldwide.
Hideki Matsuyama $11,400
Odds To Win: 16-1
Expected Ownership: 10%
Hideki had some very streaky form prior to finishing T4 at the PGA Championship so I am hoping that suppresses his ownership a bit. He is priced high this week but statistically, he is worth it. He ranks in the top 40 in GIR % this season, top 10 in Birdie or Better Conversion % and top five in both SG:T2G and SG:Approach. If his putter shows up, I could easily see him near the top of the leaderboard come Sunday.
VALUE PLAYS:
Kevin Na $9,100
Odds To Win: 33-1
Expected Ownership: 8%
Kevin Na should be a sneaky good play this week in tournaments. He does not have much of a course history at the Wyndham Championship and most recently, a top 20 finish in 2010. That being said, he is coming into this week with no worse finish than a T27 in his last five starts. He is fresh off a top 10 last week at the John Deere and ranks in the top 30 in Birdie or Better Conversion %, 13th in Proximity from 150-175 yards and top five in SG:Approach this season.
Jason Dufner $7,900
Odds To Win: 50-1
Expected Ownership: 10%
Any time we are talking about a course where it is imperative to hit a ton of greens, Dufner should always be considered. He ranks 12th in GIR% this season and is top 25 in SG:Approach. He is also 32nd in the key range of 150-175 yards. His history isn’t much to get excited about here aside from a T7 in 2012 but much like Hideki, if his putter shows up he will be in great shape this week.
Camilo Villegas $6,400
Odds To Win: 150-1
Expected Ownership: 8%
The Wyndham Championship is one of the few courses that Villegas always seems to play well at. While he doesn’t necessarily line up statistically, I am willing to take some shots on him in some tournaments. Villegas is a former winner here just two seasons ago and owns a top 10 and two top 30s in the past five seasons. His salary allows you to be able to pay up for some of the better golfers in this field.
Chad Campbell $6,000
Odds To Win: 125-1
Expected Ownership: 5%
Campbell is another guy that is too cheap not to get some exposure to this week. He is ranked in the top 20 in SG:Around-The-Green and top 10 in Par 3 Scoring. Prior to the missed cut at the Travelers, he had six straight top 40 finishes including a pair of top 12s. He had a top five finish here back in 2012 and was T31 here last season.
My Core: Hideki, Na and Dufner
Top Fade: Jim Furyk
Winner: HIDEKI
