Royals vs. Nationals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 26, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 25, 2023

The Washington Nationals (21-29) will look for Lane Thomas to extend a 10-game hitting streak against the Kansas City Royals (15-36), on Friday at 8:10 PM ET, at Kauffman Stadium.

The Royals are projected as a close favorite (-112 moneyline odds to win) against the Nationals (-108). The contest has a set total of 9.

The betting insights in this article reference odds valid as of May 26, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Royals vs Nationals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Royals -112 -108 9

Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have entered the game as favorites six times this season and won once.
  • Kansas City has entered six games this season favored by -112 or more and is 1-5 in those contests.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 52.8% chance to win.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of its 43 games with a total this season.
  • The Royals are 17-26-0 against the spread this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 9
ERA 4.40
K/9 9.6

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 40 games this year and have walked away with the win 17 times (42.5%) in those games.
  • Washington has a win-loss record of 17-23 when favored by -108 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Washington’s games have gone over the total in 19 of its 42 opportunities.
  • In 42 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 28-14-0 against the spread.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 11
ERA 4.55
K/9 7.2

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Royals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Lyles

  • When Lyles starts, his team is 1-7-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander gave up four earned runs in five innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Chicago White Sox.
  • Lyles has started 10 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings eight times. He averages 5.6 innings per appearance.
  • This will be Lyles’ first start this season with his team as the moneyline favorite.
  • Lyles’ team is winless in the 10 games he’s started this season.
  • Games started by Lyles have a 4-4-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jose Cuas 20 21.2 28 4.15 1 0
Amir Garrett 19 19 21 3.32 0 0
Taylor Clarke 19 23.2 29 3.42 5 0
Aroldis Chapman 18 18.2 31 2.89 6 2
Carlos Hernandez 16 25 34 3.60 3 0

Nationals Probable Pitcher – Patrick Corbin

  • Corbin gets the start for the Nationals, his 11th of the season. He is 3-5 with a 4.47 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 56 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The left-hander last appeared on Saturday against the Detroit Tigers, when he went six innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Corbin is trying for his 10th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.6 innings per start.
  • The Nationals have a 4-3 record in Corbin’s seven starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Corbin’s team is 5-5 over his 10 starts.
  • Corbin’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in three of eight contests.

Nationals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Hunter Harvey 22 23.1 28 3.86 9 2
Carl Edwards Jr. 22 20.2 14 2.18 9 1
Kyle Finnegan 20 20 20 4.50 3 10
Erasmo Ramírez 19 24.1 13 5.18 2 0
Mason Thompson 18 25.1 23 4.26 1 1

Royals Hitting Trends

  • The Royals have racked up at least two home runs in 11 games this season, and are 3-8 in those outings.
  • Kansas City has gone 6-9 in its 15 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has racked up at least eight hits in 32 games this season, and is 13-19 in those contests.
  • Kansas City is 10-8 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Royals are 1-7 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Nationals Hitting Trends

  • They are 5-4 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Washington has won seven of its eight games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 18 of the 34 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Washington has a 14-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won five of their 13 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Royals vs. Nationals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Royals (-112)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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