5Dimes Regular Season Prop Bets

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 30, 2014 - Last Updated on November 12, 2017

5Dimes released their regular season  prop bets for players to lead the league in Passing, Rushing and Receiving yards along with regular season MVP odds. These odds give us a look into how Vegas models are predicting this season will play out. There are some eye opening things that Vegas is telling us based on these prop bets right now. We will take a closer look at the receiving yard prop bets today and finish up with passing and rushing articles in the coming days. Below are 5 wide receiver fantasy football  observations Vegas appears to be telling us based off of the odds at 5Dimes.

1. Dez Bryant 2nd overall+500

Although Bovada has the Dallas Cowboys expected win total sitting at 7.04 wins 5Dimes seems to think that they will be playing a lot of games from behind and have Dez with the second best odds to lead the league in receiving yards behind Megatron. Demaryius Thomas, ranked 1b behind Megatron by most fantasy analysts, projects to score more touchdowns but 5Dimes ranks him third for receiving yards. I still envision the Cowboys losing a lot of close games when they attempt to come from behind and think Dez’s fantasy numbers will be a big beneficiary of playing in these scenarios. 5Dimes tends to agree and Dez should be coming off your draft board no lower then the 4th overall receiver in all formats. He also could be an interesting contrarian play in large field tournaments week 1 facing off against the banged up 49ers defense. Most will still view the 49ers defense as some sort of extraordinary unit judged off of past years performances.

2. Julio Jones  4th Overall +1200

His ADP has been steadily climbing and news out of camp has been nothing but positive so far for Julio Jones. He has legit #1 overall wide receiver talent and did play a second half of football on the foot he broke before being pronounced done for the year. Injuries are random but looking for guys who tend to play well through injuries and dings and not let it effect them is something of value and often overlooked by fantasy players. Julio Jones fits as one of these players. If he plays 16 games this year he will put up remarkable numbers. The Saints secondary has improved significantly but I expect a high O/U for week 1 in Atlanta and think Julio makes a very solid first week play on Fanduel priced as the 6th best receiver behind Marshall and Green.

3. Eric Decker and Michael Floyd 31st and 32nd Overall +10000

Although it would be absolutely shocking for a Rex Ryan led Jets team to have the #1 yards receiving WR in all of Football Decker continuously seems under ranked compared to the value different fantasy sites are placing on him. He is the #1 receiver on this team but I do not think he is going to be getting the red zone targets that a lot of fantasy analysts appear to be predicting. I think it may be time to temper some expectations for him in this offense. He is a player that is extremely hard to predict but does not offer enough upside to be worth the uncertainty. Michael Floyd on the other hand is the one player I think should be bet at his current price. In year 3 with another year  in Bruce Arians offense this could be Floyds coming out party. He does play in the brutal NFC West but at +10000 he is tough to pass up. I also like him as a week 1 option facing off against San Diego which should have another high O/U in week 1.

4. Cecil Shorts and Marqise Lee Jacksonville teammates

Yes, the banged up Cecil Shorts sprints into a 13th overall ranking. Bovada has Jacksonville propped at 5.41 wins and 5Dimes must be projecting a significant amount of junk time production from both the Jacksonville teammates on this list. With the news Cecil Shorts is going to miss several weeks Marqise Lee should see a big jump in ADP currently sitting at 166.65. He is currently the 65th wide receiver on average taken in MFL10s in the past two weeks. With how high 5Dimes has Cecil Shorts, if he were to miss any amount of time, Marqie Lee would be a screaming bargain until his ADP adjusts significantly.

5. Jeremy Maclin Not Ranked

Sometimes no noise speaks louder then any other noise. I feel like this is one of those situations. Frankly Jeremy Maclin is extremely tough to project in this Chip Kelley led offense. It appears that Vegas is afraid to make a read on him by not offering any odds on him for this prop. The amount of reps this offense is capable of getting off should lead to numerous opportunities. He is currently the 30th receiver based on his MFL10 ADP but with the amount of upside he offers there is no reason to take Eric Decker over him in any sort of best ball format. Week 1 against the Jags could be a track warmup for this Eagles offense. Chip Kelley is known to leave the gas on in all occassions. At $5000 you will have to have some exposure to him in GPP formats.

Rank Player Odds
1 Calvin Johnson +250
2 Dez Bryant +500
3 Demaryius Thomas +800
4 Julio Jones +1200
5 AJ Green +1500
6 Brandon Marshall +1500
7 Antonio Brown +1750
8 Alshon Jeffery +2500
9 Andre Johnson +2500
10 Vincent Jackson +2500
11 Jordy Nelson +2800
12 Pierre Garcon +3500
13 Cecil Shorts III +4500
14 Randall Cobb +4800
15 Larry Fitzgerald +5000
16 TY Hilton +5000
17 Keenan Allen +5000
18 Roddy White +5000
19 Torrey Smith +5000
20 Victor Cruz +5000
21 Mike Wallace +5000
22 Jimmy Graham +6000
23 Wes Welker +7000
24 DeSean Jackson +7000
25 Marques Colston +7500
26 Dwayne Bowe +9000
27 Julian Edelman +9000
28 Michael Crabtree +10000
29 Percy Harvin +10000
30 Eric Decker +10000
31 Michael Floyd +10000
32 Sammy Watkins +10000
33 Rob Gronkowski +10000
34 Riley Cooper +15000
35 Emmanuel Sanders +15000
36 DeAndre Hopkins +15000
37 Golden Tate +15000
38 Rueben Randle +15000
39 Brian Hartline +15000
40 Greg Jennings +15000
41 Cordarrelle Patterson +15000
42 James Jones +15000
43 Marqise Lee +20000
44 Hakeem Nicks +20000
45 Reggie Wayne +20000
46 Kenny Stills +20000
47 Tavon Austin +20000
48 Aaron Dobson +20000
49 Nate Washington +20000
50 Mike Evans +25000

 

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