Brewers Vs Royals: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – July 21, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on July 21, 2021

The Kansas City Royals (38-55) hope to complete a two-game sweep of the Milwaukee Brewers (56-40) when the teams meet at 2:10 PM ET on Wednesday. The Brewers are -170 favorites to prevent the Royals from completing the sweep. Eric Lauer gets the starting nod for Milwaukee while Brad Keller is Kansas City’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of July 21, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Brewers vs Royals Betting Lines

Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have won 40, or 58%, of the 69 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • This season, Milwaukee has won 16 of its 24 games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -170 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 61.2% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Brewers and their opponents are 3-6-1 in their last 10 games with a total.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 12
ERA 2.45
K/9 10.2

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Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have won in 20, or 34.5%, of the 58 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Kansas City has been victorious six times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +150 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 38.8% chance of pulling out a win.
  • In their previous 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, the Royals and their opponents are 5-5 when it comes to hitting the over.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.0
HR 10
ERA 5.75
K/9 8.9

Royals Probable Pitcher – Brad Keller

  • Keller makes the start for the Royals, his 20th of the season. He is 6-9 with a 5.97 ERA and 83 strikeouts over 95 innings pitched.
  • His last time out was on Friday, July 9 against the Indians, when the right-hander threw 7 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing four hits.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 25-year-old’s BB/9 ranks second in BB/9.
  • Keller will try to build on a 14-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing).
  • The Royals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 16 of Keller’s starts this season, and they went 6-10 in those matchups.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 21, 2021 at 2:32 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Brewers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 56-40
Home 27-22
Road 29-18
vs LHP (Starters) 10-10
vs RHP (Starters) 46-27
Day Games 20-10
Night Games 36-30

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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Eric Lauer

  • The Brewers will hand the ball to Lauer (3-4) for his 10th start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in six innings pitched against the Reds on Saturday, July 10.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched to a 3.83 ERA this season with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.8 walks per nine across 12 games.
  • Lauer will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • When he starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-4.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 21, 2021 at 2:32 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Royals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 38-55
Home 22-24
Road 16-31
vs LHP (Starters) 12-14
vs RHP (Starters) 26-40
Day Games 2-5
Night Games 36-50

Brewers Hitting Stats

  • The Brewers rank 16th in MLB action with 114 home runs. They average 1.2 per game.
  • The Brewers are 28-6 this season in games when they send out two or more home runs.
  • Milwaukee has hit 12 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Willy Adames is batting .197 with five home runs and 15 RBI for Milwaukee this season.
  • Avisail Garcia leads Milwaukee in home runs with 17 and runs batted in with 57.

Royals Hitting Stats

  • The Royals have hit just 92 homers this season, which ranks 27th in the league.
  • They are 16-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Kansas City has 10 homers over its last 10 games.
  • Salvador Perez paces the Royals with 21 home runs and 56 runs batted in, while racking up a team-best batting average of .278.
  • Whit Merrifield has 21 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 27 walks while hitting .272.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Royals (+150)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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