Rays Vs Orioles: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – July 21, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on July 21, 2021

The Tampa Bay Rays (56-39) are -165 favorites to take Game 3 of their series with the Baltimore Orioles (31-63) on Wednesday at 12:10 PM ET. The teams enter the matchup with the series record tied at 1-1, and the underdog Orioles are listed with +145 odds to win the rubber match and take the series victory. Michael Wacha starts for Tampa Bay while Baltimore will counter with Keegan Akin.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of July 21, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Rays vs Orioles Betting Lines

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have been favorites in 54 games this season and won 33 (61.1%) of those contests.
  • Tampa Bay is 14-8 this season when entering a game favored by -165 or more on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 60.4% chance to win.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 12
ERA 3.45
K/9 9.6

Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have won in 29, or 33.3%, of the 87 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Baltimore has been victorious 12 times in 45 chances when named as an underdog of at least +145 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 39.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • In their previous 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, the Orioles and their foes are 8-2 when it comes to hitting the over.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 7
ERA 6.07
K/9 7.5

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Keegan Akin

  • Akin (0-5) gets the starting nod for the Orioles in his ninth start of the season. He has an 8.19 ERA in 48 1/3 innings pitched, with 46 strikeouts.
  • In his last outing on Saturday against the Royals, the left-hander threw three innings, allowing six earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
  • In 13 games this season, the 26-year-old has an ERA of 8.19, with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .332 against him.
  • Akin has pitched five or more innings in a game two times this year entering this game.
  • The Orioles were the moneyline underdog for 12 Akin starts this season — they lost every game.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 21, 2021 at 2:41 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Rays Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 56-40
Home 29-19
Road 27-21
vs LHP (Starters) 22-17
vs RHP (Starters) 34-23
Day Games 6-1
Night Games 50-39

Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rays Probable Pitcher – Michael Wacha

  • The Rays will send Wacha (2-2) to the mound for his 12th start this season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed four innings while giving up four earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Braves.
  • The 30-year-old has pitched to a 5.14 ERA this season with 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.6 walks per nine across 16 games.
  • Wacha has started 11 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings six times. He averages 3.0 innings per appearance.
  • His team has won 62.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-3).
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 21, 2021 at 2:41 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Orioles Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 31-63
Home 13-30
Road 18-33
vs LHP (Starters) 11-23
vs RHP (Starters) 20-40
Day Games 1-3
Night Games 30-60

Rays Hitting Stats

  • The Rays are 15th in MLB play with 115 total home runs.
  • The Rays have hit 50 home runs at home this season (1.1 per game).
  • Tampa Bay has hit 12 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Randy Arozarena has been key for Tampa Bay with 11 home runs, 43 RBI and a batting average of .251 this season.
  • Austin Meadows leads Tampa Bay in runs batted in with 63 while batting .238 with 16 homers.

Orioles Hitting Stats

  • The Orioles’ 102 home runs rank 24th in Major League Baseball.
  • They’ve hit 45 homers, an average of 0.9 per game, in 51 road contests this season.
  • Over the last 10 games, Baltimore has hit seven home runs.
  • Cedric Mullins paces the Orioles with 16 home runs while accumulating a team-high batting average of .312.
  • Trey Mancini’s 16 home runs and 57 RBI both lead his team.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Rays (-165)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy