Suns Vs Bucks: NBA Finals Game 5 Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – July 17, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on July 15, 2021

The Phoenix Suns (51-21, 14-6) are 4-point favorites heading into Game 5 of the NBA Finals against the Milwaukee Bucks (46-26, 14-7) at Phoenix Suns Arena on Saturday, starting at 9:00 PM ET on ABC. The series is tied 2-2. The over/under for the matchup is 218.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of July 15, 2021, 12:55 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Suns vs Bucks Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of July 15

Suns:
Dario Saric: Out For Season (Knee)

Bucks:
Donte DiVincenzo: Out For Season (Foot)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Suns (-4)
Total Pick Over (218.5)
Prediction Suns 115, Bucks 111

The model line and the William Hill line are within 0.4 points of each other.

The William Hill point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (7.7 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Suns Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Devin Booker 67 25.6 4.2 4.3 0.8 0.2 1.9
Chris Paul 70 16.4 4.5 8.9 1.4 0.3 1.5
Deandre Ayton 69 14.4 10.5 1.4 0.6 1.2 0.1
Mikal Bridges 72 13.5 4.3 2.1 1.1 0.9 1.9
Jae Crowder 60 10.1 4.7 2.1 0.8 0.5 2.5

Suns Player Props

  • Devin Booker’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 36.5, 2.4 greater than his season average of 34.1.
  • Chris Paul’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 30.5, 0.7 higher than his season average of 29.8.
  • Jae Crowder’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 2.5, equal to his season average of 2.5.
  • Deandre Ayton’s blocks prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.3 blocks higher than his season average of 1.2.

Bucks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Giannis Antetokounmpo 61 28.1 11.0 5.9 1.2 1.2 1.1
Khris Middleton 68 20.4 6.0 5.4 1.1 0.1 2.2
Jrue Holiday 59 17.7 4.5 6.1 1.6 0.6 1.9
Brook Lopez 70 12.3 5.0 0.7 0.6 1.5 1.4
Bobby Portis 66 11.4 7.1 1.1 0.8 0.4 1.1

Bucks Player Props

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo’s rebounding prop total for the game is set at 11.5 boards, 0.5 rebounds greater than his season average of 11.0.
  • Jrue Holiday’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 30.5, 2.2 greater than his season average of 28.3.
  • Bryn Forbes’ three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.7 shots lower than his season average of 2.2.
  • Brook Lopez’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, equal to his season average of 1.5.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Suns have a 48.8% shooting percentage from the field, which is 3.3% higher than the 45.5% of shots the Bucks’ opponents have knocked down.
  • Phoenix is 50-23-1 against the spread and 59-15 overall when it shoots higher than 45.5% from the field.
  • Milwaukee has a 40-26-1 record against the spread and a 52-15 record overall when allowing its opponents to knock down more than 48.8% of their shots from the field.
  • The Bucks’ 48.1% shooting percentage from the field this season is 2.2 percentage points higher than the Suns have allowed to their opponents (45.9%).
  • This season, Milwaukee has a 35-23-1 record against the spread and a 44-15 record overall in games the team collectively shoots better than 45.9% from the field.
  • Phoenix is 44-15 against the spread and 47-12 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot higher than 48.1% from the field.
  • The Suns are knocking down 37.6% of their three-point shots this season, 0.1% lower than the 37.7% the Bucks allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Phoenix has assembled a 31-13 record against the spread and a 36-8 straight-up record in games this season when the team hits more than 37.7% of its three-point shots.
  • Milwaukee is 33-19 against the spread while putting together a 41-11 straight-up record when its opponents shoot above 37.6% from beyond the arc.
  • The Bucks shoot 37.3% from beyond the arc this season. That’s only 2.4 percentage points higher than the Suns have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (34.9%).
  • Milwaukee is 32-26-1 against the spread and 43-16 overall when shooting above 34.9% as a team from three-point range.
  • Phoenix is 38-16 ATS and 41-13 overall in games it shoots above 37.3% from deep.
  • The Suns’ 12.7 made three-pointers per game this season is one fewer made shot on average than the 13.7 per game the Bucks allow.
  • Milwaukee has gone 27-10 against the spread and 33-4 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Phoenix hits fewer threes than its opponents, it is 18-21 ATS and 22-17 straight up.
  • The Suns rank 13th in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Bucks give up the most made threes in the league.

Suns vs Bucks Stat Rankings

Suns Rank Suns AVG Bucks AVG Bucks Rank
7th 113.9 Points Scored 117.8 1st
7th 108.2 Points Allowed 112.1 22nd
29th 43 Rebounds 48.4 3rd
28th 8.6 Off. Rebounds 10.9 12th
13th 12.7 3pt Made 13.7 5th
3rd 26.2 Assists 24.9 14th
4th 11.9 Turnovers 13 16th

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