Athletics Vs Red Sox: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – July 4, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on July 4, 2021

The Boston Red Sox (52-32) are underdogs on the moneyline (-104) in Sunday’s contest with the Oakland Athletics (49-36), which starts at 4:07 PM ET on MLB Network. However, the Red Sox are favored against the spread (1.5) with +145 odds. Oakland’s James Kaprielian gets the start, and he’ll go against Boston’s Nick Pivetta.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of July 4, 2021, 2:01 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Athletics vs Red Sox Betting Lines

Athletics Betting Insights

  • The Athletics have been favorites in 52 games this season and won 32 (61.5%) of those contests.
  • This season, Oakland has won 31 of its 50 games, or 62%, when favored by at least -112 on the moneyline.
  • The Athletics have a 50.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Athletics and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.

Athletics Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 9
ERA 3.31
K/9 7.5

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Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have come away with 20 wins in the 30 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Boston has been victorious 19 times in 29 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 49.1% chance of walking away with the win.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Red Sox and their opponents have combined to clear the total four times.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.1
HR 15
ERA 2.42
K/9 8

Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Nick Pivetta

  • Pivetta (6-3 with a 4.43 ERA and 99 strikeouts in 85 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Red Sox, his 17th of the season.
  • In his most recent appearance on Tuesday, the righty tossed 4 1/3 innings against the Royals, giving up six earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 28-year-old’s BB/9 ranks third in BB/9.
  • Pivetta heads into the matchup with 13 outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
  • The Red Sox are 3-2 in Pivetta’s five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 4, 2021 at 2:11 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Athletics Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 49-36
Home 27-21
Road 22-15
vs LHP (Starters) 22-12
vs RHP (Starters) 27-24
Day Games 2-3
Night Games 47-33

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Athletics Probable Pitcher – James Kaprielian

  • Kaprielian (4-2) will take the mound for the Athletics, his 10th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs in six innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Rangers.
  • The 27-year-old has pitched to a 3.06 ERA this season with 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.4 walks per nine across nine games.
  • Kaprielian has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • When he starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-3.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 4, 2021 at 2:11 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Red Sox Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 52-32
Home 27-17
Road 25-15
vs LHP (Starters) 17-12
vs RHP (Starters) 34-20
Day Games 0-3
Night Games 52-29

Athletics Hitting Stats

  • The Athletics average 1.2 home runs per game to rank 12th in baseball with 105 total home runs .
  • The Athletics are 21-9 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • Oakland has hit nine home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Matt Olson leads Oakland in home runs with 20, runs batted in with 53 and his batting average of .282 is also best on his team.
  • Jed Lowrie has collected 69 hits this season and has an OBP of .327. He’s slugging .399 on the year.

Red Sox Hitting Stats

  • The Red Sox have hit 107 homers this season, which ranks ninth in the league.
  • In 40 games on the road this season, they’ve hit 54 homers, an average of 1.4 per contest.
  • Boston has 15 homers over its last 10 games.
  • Xander Bogaerts leads the Red Sox with a team-best batting average of .326.
  • J.D. Martinez is batting .300 with 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 30 walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-104)

Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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