Rockies Vs Cardinals: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – July 4, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on July 4, 2021

The Colorado Rockies will look to pick up their 37th win of the season when they take on the St. Louis Cardinals (41-43) on Sunday. The game begins at 3:10 PM ET on SportsNet RM, with the Rockies listed as -159 favorites on the moneyline. Colorado’s German Marquez gets the start, and he’ll go against St. Louis’ Carlos Martinez.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of July 4, 2021, 2:01 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Rockies vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Rockies Betting Insights

  • This season, the Rockies have been favored 20 times and won 15, or 75%, of those games.
  • Colorado is undefeated in three games this season when favored by -159 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Rockies, based on the moneyline, is 59.1%.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Rockies and their opponents are 2-8 when it comes to hitting the over.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4
HR 12
ERA 3.39
K/9 8.6

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Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have come away with 13 wins in the 38 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, St. Louis has won two of 13 games when listed as at least +135 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 40.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Cardinals and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on two occasions.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 9
ERA 3.91
K/9 6.7

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Carlos Martínez

  • The Cardinals will send Martinez (4-9) out for his 16th start of the season. He is 4-9 with a 6.38 ERA and 55 strikeouts in 79 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s most recent time out came on Wednesday against the Diamondbacks, when he tossed six innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing four hits.
  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 6.38, with 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings in 15 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .251 batting average against him.
  • Martínez will look to pitch five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing.
  • The Cardinals were the underdog on the moneyline for eight Martínez starts this season — they lost every game.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 4, 2021 at 2:14 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Rockies Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 36-48
Home 30-17
Road 6-31
vs LHP (Starters) 13-11
vs RHP (Starters) 23-37
Day Games 13-13
Night Games 23-35

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Rockies Probable Pitcher – German Márquez

  • The Rockies’ Marquez (7-6) will make his 18th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw nine scoreless innings against the Pirates while allowing one hit.
  • Among qualified major league pitchers this season, the 26-year-old’s BB/9 ranks sixth in BB/9.
  • Marquez has pitched five or more innings in 10 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • His team is 6-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 4, 2021 at 2:14 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cardinals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 41-43
Home 23-18
Road 18-25
vs LHP (Starters) 11-8
vs RHP (Starters) 29-34
Day Games 13-12
Night Games 28-31

Rockies Hitting Stats

  • The Rockies have hit 80 home runs this season, the fifth-lowest total in MLB action.
  • The Rockies are 13-6 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
  • Colorado has 12 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Raimel Tapia has been key for Colorado with 89 hits, an OBP of .334 plus a slugging percentage of .399.
  • Ryan McMahon is batting .251 this season with a team-high 16 home runs and 45 RBI.

Cardinals Hitting Stats

  • The Cardinals’ 87 home runs rank 22nd in Major League Baseball.
  • They’ve hit 53 homers, an average of 1.2 per game, in 43 road contests this season.
  • St. Louis has hit nine home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Nolan Arenado paces the Cardinals in home runs (16) and runs batted in (52).
  • Tyler O’Neill has a club-high .279 batting average.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Rockies (-159)

Over/Under Pick: Over (11.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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