Suns Vs Bucks: NBA Finals Game 1 Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – July 6, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on July 4, 2021

The Phoenix Suns (51-21, 12-4) are 5.5-point favorites heading into Game 1 of the NBA Finals against the Milwaukee Bucks (46-26, 12-5) at Phoenix Suns Arena on Tuesday, starting at 9:00 PM ET on ABC. The matchup has an over/under set at 217 points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of July 4, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Suns vs Bucks Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of July 4

Suns: None

Bucks:
Donte DiVincenzo: Out For Season (Foot),
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Out (Knee)

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Suns Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Devin Booker 67 25.6 4.2 4.3 0.8 0.2 1.9
Chris Paul 70 16.4 4.5 8.9 1.4 0.3 1.5
Deandre Ayton 69 14.4 10.5 1.4 0.6 1.2 0.1
Mikal Bridges 72 13.5 4.3 2.1 1.1 0.9 1.9
Jae Crowder 60 10.1 4.7 2.1 0.8 0.5 2.5

Suns Player Props

  • Devin Booker’s PRA prop over/under for the matchup is listed at 36.5, 2.4 greater than his season average of 34.1.
  • Deandre Ayton’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 29.5, 3.1 higher than his season average of 26.4.
  • Jae Crowder’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, equal to his season average of 2.5.
  • Ayton’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.3 blocks higher than his season average of 1.2.

Bucks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Giannis Antetokounmpo 61 28.1 11.0 5.9 1.2 1.2 1.1
Khris Middleton 68 20.4 6.0 5.4 1.1 0.1 2.2
Jrue Holiday 59 17.7 4.5 6.1 1.6 0.6 1.9
Brook Lopez 70 12.3 5.0 0.7 0.6 1.5 1.4
Bobby Portis 66 11.4 7.1 1.1 0.8 0.4 1.1

Bucks Player Props

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo’s rebounding prop total for the game is posted at 10.5 boards, 0.5 rebounds lower than his season average of 11.0.
  • Jrue Holiday’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 33.5, 5.2 greater than his season average of 28.3.
  • Bryn Forbes’ three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.7 shots less than his season average of 2.2.
  • Brook Lopez’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, equal to his season average of 1.5.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Suns have a 48.8% shooting percentage from the field, which is 3.4% higher than the 45.4% of shots the Bucks’ opponents have made.
  • Phoenix has a 47-20-2 record against the spread and a 57-13 straight-up record in games it shoots higher than 45.4% from the field.
  • Milwaukee is 39-26 against the spread and 51-14 overall when allowing opponents to shoot better than 48.8% from the field.
  • The Bucks have shot at a 48.2% clip from the field this season, 2.2 percentage points greater than the 46% shooting opponents of the Suns have averaged.
  • Milwaukee has compiled a 34-24 record against the spread and a 43-15 straight up record in games it shoots above 46% from the field.
  • This season, Phoenix has a 41-14-1 record against the spread and a 46-11 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot higher than 48.2% from the field.
  • The Suns are making 37.7% of their three-point shots this season, the same that the Bucks allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Phoenix has collected a 29-13 record against the spread and a 35-8 straight-up record in games this season when the team knocks down more than 37.7% of its three-point attempts.
  • Milwaukee has put up a 31-18 against the spread while going 39-10 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot higher than 37.7% from downtown.
  • The Bucks shoot 37.4% from three-point distance this season. That’s just 2.5 percentage points higher than the Suns have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (34.9%).
  • Milwaukee is 31-26 against the spread and 42-15 overall when shooting above 34.9% as a team from three-point range.
  • Phoenix has a 36-14-2 ATS record and a 40-12 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 37.4% from three-point range.
  • The Suns hit 12.7 three-pointers per game this season, 1.1 fewer makes per game than the Bucks allow (13.8).
  • When Milwaukee makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 26-9 against the spread and 32-3 overall. When Phoenix is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 15-20-1 ATS and 21-16 straight up.
  • The Suns make the 13th-most three-pointers in the league, while the Bucks allow the most makes from beyond the arc.

Suns vs Bucks Stat Rankings

Suns Rank Suns AVG Bucks AVG Bucks Rank
7th 114.1 Points Scored 118.2 1st
7th 108.1 Points Allowed 112.2 22nd
29th 43.1 Rebounds 48.5 3rd
28th 8.7 Off. Rebounds 10.8 12th
13th 12.7 3pt Made 13.8 5th
3rd 26.5 Assists 25 14th
4th 11.8 Turnovers 13.2 16th

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