Mariners Vs Rangers: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – July 3, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on July 3, 2021

The Seattle Mariners (43-39) hope to avoid an upset as -148 favorites when they take on Joey Gallo (with homers in five straight contests) and the Texas Rangers (32-49). First pitch is at 10:10 PM ET on Saturday, live from T-Mobile Park and airing on MLB Network. Marco Gonzales starts for Seattle while Texas will counter with Jordan Lyles.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of July 3, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Mariners vs Rangers Betting Lines

Mariners Betting Insights

  • This season, the Mariners have been favored 15 times and won seven, or 46.7%, of those games.
  • Seattle has a record of 2-2 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -148 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 57.3% chance to win.
  • The Mariners and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 19
ERA 4.15
K/9 9.3

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Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have come away with 27 wins in the 70 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Texas has come away with a win 19 times in 49 chances when named as an underdog of at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 42.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • When it comes to the total, the Rangers and their opponents are 5-4-1 in their previous 10 games.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 18
ERA 3.74
K/9 7.6

Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jordan Lyles

  • Lyles (3-5 with a 5.12 ERA and 67 strikeouts in 84 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Rangers, his 16th of the season.
  • His most recent time out came on Sunday against the Royals, when the righty threw seven innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up seven hits.
  • The 30-year-old’s BB/9 ranks 13th in BB/9 among qualifying pitchers this season.
  • Lyles is looking for his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per start.
  • The Rangers have a 7-8 record in Lyles’ 15 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 3, 2021 at 2:09 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Mariners Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 43-39
Home 24-16
Road 19-23
vs LHP (Starters) 16-12
vs RHP (Starters) 27-27
Day Games 9-4
Night Games 34-35

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Marco Gonzales

  • The Mariners’ Gonzales (1-4) will make his 10th start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings pitched on Sunday, June 20 in his last outing, a matchup with the Rays.
  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 5.10, a 2.6 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.320 in nine games this season.
  • Gonzales will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • His team won his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 3, 2021 at 2:09 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Rangers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 32-49
Home 20-21
Road 12-28
vs LHP (Starters) 15-13
vs RHP (Starters) 17-36
Day Games 9-10
Night Games 23-39

Mariners Hitting Stats

  • The Mariners are 14th in MLB action with 100 home runs. They average 1.2 per game.
  • The Mariners average 1.1 homers per game when playing at home this season (43 total in home outings).
  • Seattle has 19 home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Mitch Haniger leads Seattle with 18 home runs this season. He’s batting .261 with 47 RBI.
  • J.P. Crawford leads Seattle in batting with a .286 average while slugging five homers and driving in 30 runs.

Rangers Hitting Stats

  • The Rangers rank 18th in Major League Baseball with 95 home runs.
  • They’ve hit 49 homers, an average of 1.2 per game, in 40 road contests this season.
  • Texas has 18 homers over its last 10 games.
  • Nate Lowe is batting .260 with nine doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Adolis Garcia has hit 20 home runs with 55 RBI. Both pace his team.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (+125)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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