Hawks Vs Bucks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 6 Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – July 3, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on July 2, 2021

The Atlanta Hawks (41-31, 10-7) are 1-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Milwaukee Bucks (46-26, 11-5) at State Farm Arena on Saturday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The Bucks lead the series 3-2. The matchup’s over/under is set at 216.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of July 2, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Hawks vs Bucks Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of July 2

De’Andre Hunter: Out For Season (Knee),
Trae Young: Day To Day (Foot),
Brandon Goodwin: Out For Season (Illness)

Donte DiVincenzo: Out For Season (Foot),
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Out (Knee)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Bucks (+1)
Total Pick Over (216.5)
Prediction Hawks 114, Bucks 113

The spread for this game suggested by the model (0.0 points) is a little tighter than the 1-point edge FanDuel gives to the Hawks, though the data still has them as the favorite.

In this game, the model projects a total (226.5 points) substantially higher than the FanDuel over/under (216.5 points). Bet on the over.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Hawks Key Players

Trae Young 63 25.3 3.9 9.4 0.8 0.2 2.2
John Collins 63 17.6 7.4 1.2 0.5 1.0 1.3
Bogdan Bogdanovic 44 16.4 3.6 3.3 1.1 0.3 3.3
Clint Capela 63 15.2 14.3 0.8 0.7 2.0 0.0
De’Andre Hunter 23 15.0 4.8 1.9 0.8 0.5 1.3

Hawks Player Props

  • Trae Young’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 37.5, 1.1 less than his season average of 38.6.
  • Clint Capela’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 29.5, 0.8 lower than his season average of 30.3.
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 3.5, 0.2 shots greater than his season average of 3.3.
  • Cam Reddish’s steals prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.2 steals greater than his season average of 1.3.

Bucks Key Players

Giannis Antetokounmpo 61 28.1 11.0 5.9 1.2 1.2 1.1
Khris Middleton 68 20.4 6.0 5.4 1.1 0.1 2.2
Jrue Holiday 59 17.7 4.5 6.1 1.6 0.6 1.9
Brook Lopez 70 12.3 5.0 0.7 0.6 1.5 1.4
Bobby Portis 66 11.4 7.1 1.1 0.8 0.4 1.1

Bucks Player Props

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo’s rebounding prop total for the game is set at 10.5 boards, 0.5 rebounds lower than his season average of 11.0.
  • Jrue Holiday’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 32.5, 4.2 greater than his season average of 28.3.
  • Bryn Forbes’ three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.3 shots higher than his season average of 2.2.
  • Brook Lopez’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, equal to his season average of 1.5.

Shooting Trends

  • The Hawks are shooting 46.4% from the field this season, one percentage point higher than the 45.4% the Bucks allow to opponents.
  • Atlanta has a 35-17 record against the spread and a 35-17 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 45.4% from the field.
  • Milwaukee has a 36-12-1 record against the spread and a 46-3 record overall when allowing its opponents to hit more than 46.4% of their shots from the field.
  • The Bucks’ 48.2% shooting percentage from the field this season is two percentage points higher than the Hawks have given up to their opponents (46.2%).
  • This season, Milwaukee has a 33-22-1 record against the spread and a 42-14 record overall in games the team collectively shoots above 46.2% from the field.
  • This season, Atlanta has a 43-14 record against the spread and a 46-11 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot above 48.2% from the field.
  • The Hawks’ 36.6% three-point shooting percentage this season is just 1.1 percentage points lower than opponents of the Bucks have shot from beyond the arc (37.7%).
  • Atlanta is 29-8 against the spread and 28-9 overall when it shoots better than 37.7% from distance.
  • Milwaukee has put up a 30-12 against the spread while going 38-4 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot higher than 36.6% from deep.
  • The Bucks are making 37.4% of their shots from beyond the arc, which is only 2.5 percentage points greater than the 34.9% the Hawks’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Milwaukee is 30-25-1 against the spread and 41-15 overall when shooting over 34.9% as a team from three-point range.
  • Atlanta has a 37-17 ATS record and a 38-16 straight-up record this season when it makes more than 37.4% of its three-point shots.
  • The Hawks make 12.3 three-pointers per game this season, 1.5 fewer makes per game than the Bucks allow (13.8).
  • Milwaukee has gone 25-9 against the spread and 31-3 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Atlanta makes fewer three-pointers than its opponents, it is 11-26 ATS and 12-25 straight up.
  • The Hawks rank 17th in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Bucks give up the most made threes in the league.

Hawks vs Bucks Stat Rankings

Hawks Rank Hawks AVG Bucks AVG Bucks Rank
13th 112.3 Points Scored 118.2 1st
12th 110.6 Points Allowed 112.3 22nd
8th 45 Rebounds 48.5 3rd
7th 10.2 Off. Rebounds 10.7 12th
17th 12.3 3pt Made 13.8 5th
19th 23.4 Assists 25 14th
9th 12.5 Turnovers 13.2 16th

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