Nets Vs Bucks: Eastern Conference Semifinals Game 4 Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – June 13, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on June 11, 2021

The Brooklyn Nets (48-24, 6-2) are 2-point favorites heading into Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Milwaukee Bucks (46-26, 5-2) at Fiserv Forum on Sunday, starting at 3:00 PM ET on ABC. The Nets hold a 2-1 series lead. The matchup has an over/under of 229.5 points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of June 11, 2021, 1:25 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Nets vs Bucks Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of June 11

Nets:
Jeff Green: Out (Foot),
James Harden: Out (Hamstring),
Spencer Dinwiddie: Out For Season (ACL)

Bucks:
Sam Merrill: Out (Ankle),
Donte DiVincenzo: Out For Season (Foot),
Jordan Nwora: Out (Thigh)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Bucks (+2)
Total Pick Over (229.5)
Prediction Bucks 118, Nets 115

The model line is much more favorable to the Bucks compared to the William Hill line, a 4.3 point difference, and has them favored to win Sunday’s game outright. Put your money on the Bucks.

The model predicts a total 3.2 points higher than the one set by William Hill for this game.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Nets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Kevin Durant 35 26.9 7.1 5.6 0.7 1.3 2.4
Kyrie Irving 54 26.9 4.8 6.0 1.4 0.7 2.8
James Harden 44 24.6 7.9 10.8 1.2 0.8 2.8
Joe Harris 69 14.1 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.2 3.1
Blake Griffin 46 11.0 4.9 3.0 0.7 0.3 1.5

Nets Player Props

  • James Harden’s rebounding prop over/under for the contest is listed at 7.5 rebounds, 0.4 rebounds less than his season average of 7.9.
  • Kevin Durant’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 47.5, 7.9 greater than his season average of 39.6.
  • Joe Harris’ three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.4 shots higher than his season average of 3.1.
  • Kyrie Irving’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.1 steals higher than his season average of 1.4.

Bucks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Giannis Antetokounmpo 61 28.1 11.0 5.9 1.2 1.2 1.1
Khris Middleton 68 20.4 6.0 5.4 1.1 0.1 2.2
Jrue Holiday 59 17.7 4.5 6.1 1.6 0.6 1.9
Brook Lopez 70 12.3 5.0 0.7 0.6 1.5 1.4
Bobby Portis 66 11.4 7.1 1.1 0.8 0.4 1.1

Bucks Player Props

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 48.5, 3.5 higher than his season average of 45.0.
  • Jrue Holiday’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 34.5, 6.2 higher than his season average of 28.3.
  • Bryn Forbes’ three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.3 shots higher than his season average of 2.2.
  • Holiday’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.1 steals lower than his season average of 1.6.

Shooting Trends

  • The Nets make 49.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is 3.9 percentage points higher than the Bucks have allowed to their opponents (45.3%).
  • Brooklyn is 39-22 against the spread and 49-13 overall when it shoots better than 45.3% from the field.
  • Milwaukee is 32-27-1 against the spread and 45-15 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 49.2% from the field.
  • The Bucks are shooting 48.4% from the field, 2.8% higher than the 45.6% the Nets’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Milwaukee has put together a 30-22-1 record against the spread and a 39-14 straight up record in games it shoots better than 45.6% from the field.
  • When Brooklyn’s opponents shoot over 48.4% from the field, it is 35-19 against the spread and 44-11 overall.
  • The Nets are hitting 39.4% of their three-point shots this season, 1.2% higher than the 38.2% the Bucks allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Brooklyn is 32-14 against the spread and 38-9 overall when it shoots better than 38.2% from distance.
  • Milwaukee is 27-20 against the spread and 36-11 overall when its opponents shoot higher than 39.4% from deep.
  • The Bucks shoot 38.1% from beyond the arc this season. That’s just 2.1 percentage points higher than the Nets have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (36%).
  • Milwaukee is 27-23-1 against the spread and 37-14 overall when shooting above 36% as a team from three-point range.
  • Brooklyn has a 31-16 ATS record and a 39-9 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 38.1% from three-point distance.
  • The Nets connect on 14.2 three-pointers per game this season, just 0.1 more makes per game than the Bucks give up 14.1.
  • When Brooklyn makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 32-17 against the spread and 37-13 overall. When Milwaukee is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 13-32-1 ATS and 22-24 straight up.
  • The Bucks rank fifth in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Nets give up the 22nd-fewest made threes in the league.

Nets vs Bucks Stat Rankings

Nets Rank Nets AVG Bucks AVG Bucks Rank
2nd 118.5 Points Scored 119 1st
21st 113.2 Points Allowed 113.2 22nd
17th 44.3 Rebounds 48.8 3rd
27th 8.9 Off. Rebounds 10.6 12th
7th 14.2 3pt Made 14.1 5th
7th 26.4 Assists 25.2 14th
14th 12.7 Turnovers 13.4 16th

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