Angels Vs Diamondbacks: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – June 11, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on June 11, 2021

Expect a few home runs when Shohei Ohtani (17 HR) and the Los Angeles Angels (30-32) take on Eduardo Escobar (14 HR) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (20-43) at Chase Field, beginning at 9:40 PM ET live on BSAZ. Ohtani and the Angels are -139 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup. Los Angeles’ Ohtani gets the start, and he’ll go against Arizona’s Merrill Kelly.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of June 11, 2021, 2:01 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Angels vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Angels Betting Insights

  • The Angels have won 18, or 48.6%, of the 37 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Los Angeles is 8-9 this season when entering a game favored by -139 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.1% chance of a victory for the Angels.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Angels and their opponents are 5-5 in their last 10 games with a total.

Angels Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 15
ERA 3.34
K/9 10

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Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have come away with 14 wins in the 50 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Arizona has won seven of 31 games when listed as at least +120 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • When it comes to the total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents are 7-3 in their previous 10 games.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 9
ERA 4.87
K/9 8

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Merrill Kelly

  • Kelly (2-6 with a 5.12 ERA and 62 strikeouts in 70 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Diamondbacks, his 13th of the season.
  • His most recent appearance was on Saturday against the Brewers, when the righty tossed six innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • The 32-year-old’s ERA and strikeout total fall outside of the league’s leaders among qualifying pitchers this season.
  • Kelly is trying for his 12th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per start.
  • The Diamondbacks have been the underdog on the moneyline in 11 of Kelly’s starts this season, and they went 3-8 in those games.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 11, 2021 at 2:09 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Angels Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 30-32
Home 18-16
Road 12-16
vs LHP (Starters) 10-9
vs RHP (Starters) 20-23
Day Games 0-1
Night Games 30-31

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Angels Probable Pitcher – Shohei Ohtani

  • Ohtani (2-1) will take the mound for the Angels, his ninth start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday against the Royals, throwing 2/3 innings of relief and allowing hits.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched to a 2.76 ERA this season with 12.8 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 5.5 walks per nine across eight games.
  • In eight starts this season, Ohtani has lasted five or more innings five times, with an average of 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • When he starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 17-19.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 11, 2021 at 2:09 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Diamondbacks Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 20-42
Home 11-15
Road 9-27
vs LHP (Starters) 3-12
vs RHP (Starters) 17-30
Day Games 2-6
Night Games 18-36

Angels Hitting Stats

  • The Angels average 1.3 home runs per game to rank seventh in MLB action with 80 total home runs.
  • The Angels have a 14-7 record in games this season when they hit two or more home runs.
  • Los Angeles has hit 15 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Jared Walsh has been key for Los Angeles with 13 home runs, 40 RBI and a batting average of .297 this season.
  • Ohtani leads Los Angeles in home runs (17) and runs batted in (44) this season while batting .262.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats

  • The Diamondbacks’ 61 home runs rank 24th in Major League Baseball.
  • They have averaged 0.9 home runs per game in their 27 home contests this season.
  • Arizona has nine homers over its last 10 games.
  • During the Diamondbacks’ seven-game losing streak, they are slashing .197/.259/.310 and have scored 18 runs.
  • Pavin Smith is batting .290 with 13 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 16 walks.
  • Escobar has hit 14 home runs with 41 runs batted in. Both pace his team.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (+120)

Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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