Astros Vs Twins: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – June 11, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on June 11, 2021

Led by Jose Altuve (on a two-game homer streak), the Houston Astros (35-27) are favorites to win against the Minnesota Twins (25-37) on Friday at 8:10 PM ET. Sportsbooks have named the Astros as -155 favorites for the game, which airs on BSN. Jose Urquidy starts for Houston while Minnesota will counter with Matt Shoemaker.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of June 11, 2021, 2:01 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Astros vs Twins Betting Lines

Astros Betting Insights

  • The Astros have entered the game as favorites 46 times this season and won 25, or 54.3%, of those games.
  • This season, Houston has won 13 of its 22 games, or 59.1%, when favored by at least -155 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 58.6%.
  • The Astros and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.3
HR 15
ERA 3.17
K/9 9.2

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Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins have won in eight, or 38.1%, of the 21 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Minnesota has been listed as an underdog of +133 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 41.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Twins and their foes are 6-3-1 in their previous 10 contests.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 17
ERA 6.00
K/9 6.3

Twins Probable Pitcher – Matt Shoemaker

  • Shoemaker (2-7 with a 7.28 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 50 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Twins, his 12th of the season.
  • In his last time out on Saturday, the righty went a third of an inning against the Royals, giving up eight earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • The 34-year-old has an ERA of 7.28, with 6 strikeouts per nine innings in 11 games this season. Opponents are batting .286 against him.
  • Shoemaker has seven starts this season where he pitched five or more innings.
  • The Twins were the moneyline underdog for two Shoemaker starts this season — they lost both.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 11, 2021 at 2:13 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Astros Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 36-27
Home 20-13
Road 16-14
vs LHP (Starters) 18-14
vs RHP (Starters) 18-13
Day Games 1-4
Night Games 35-23

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Astros Probable Pitcher – Jose Urquidy

  • The Astros’ Urquidy (4-3) will make his 11th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up six earned runs and allowed nine hits in 4 1/3 innings pitched against the Blue Jays on Saturday.
  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.76, 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings and a batting average against of .236 in 10 games this season.
  • Urquidy has seven starts of five or more innings this season in 10 chances. He averages 5.2 innings per outing.
  • His team has been victorious in 57.1% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-3.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 11, 2021 at 2:13 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Twins Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 25-37
Home 13-19
Road 12-18
vs LHP (Starters) 7-14
vs RHP (Starters) 18-23
Day Games 6-10
Night Games 19-27

Astros Hitting Stats

  • The Astros rank 14th in baseball with 74 home runs. They average 1.2 per game.
  • The Astros average 1.3 home runs per road game this season (37 total on the road).
  • Houston has hit 15 home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Yuli Gurriel is batting .335 with 45 RBI, both of which are best among Houston hitters this season.
  • Carlos Correa is slugging .493 this season, with a team-best 11 homers while driving in 34 runs.

Twins Hitting Stats

  • The Twins’ 88 home runs rank third in Major League Baseball.
  • They have averaged 1.3 home runs per game in their 32 home contests this season.
  • Over the last 10 games, Minnesota has hit 17 home runs.
  • Nelson Cruz is batting .287 with eight doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 18 walks.
  • Jorge Polanco is batting .242 with 13 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 20 walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Astros (-155)

Over/Under Pick: Over (10.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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