Brewers Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – June 11, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on June 11, 2021

Adam Frazier (13 games) will look to add one more to his hitting streak when the Pittsburgh Pirates (23-38) and Milwaukee Brewers (35-27) meet on Friday at 8:10 PM ET, live on BSWI from American Family Field. Adam Frazier and the Pirates are listed as underdogs by bookmakers with +235 odds on the moneyline. Milwaukee’s Brandon Woodruff gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s Chase De Jong.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of June 11, 2021, 2:01 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Brewers vs Pirates Betting Lines

Brewers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Brewers have won 22 out of the 40 games, or 55%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Milwaukee has played as a favorite of -278 or more once this season and won that game.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 71.1%.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 22
ERA 3.10
K/9 11.9

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have come away with 19 wins in the 55 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given Pittsburgh this season with a +235 moneyline set for this game.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 28.9% chance of pulling out a win.
  • When it comes to the total, the Pirates and their foes are 6-4 in their last 10 contests.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 6
ERA 4.74
K/9 7.2

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Chase De Jong

  • The Pirates will send De Jong (0-0) to the mound to make his third start of the season.
  • The righty last pitched on Saturday against the Marlins, when he threw five innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • De Jong has put together two starts this year where he pitched five or more innings.
  • The Pirates were the underdog on the moneyline for one De Jong start this season — they won.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 11, 2021 at 2:14 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Brewers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 35-27
Home 17-15
Road 18-12
vs LHP (Starters) 8-7
vs RHP (Starters) 27-19
Day Games 12-7
Night Games 23-20

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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Brandon Woodruff

  • Woodruff (4-2) will take to the mound for the Brewers and make his 13th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in five innings against the Diamondbacks.
  • The 28-year-old’s 1.42 ERA ranks fourth, his .740 WHIP ranks second, his 92 strikeouts rank 10th, and his 10.90 K/9 ranks 12th among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.
  • Woodruff will look to finish five or more innings for the 12th start in a row.
  • His team is 5-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 11, 2021 at 2:14 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 23-38
Home 13-19
Road 10-19
vs LHP (Starters) 4-9
vs RHP (Starters) 19-29
Day Games 6-12
Night Games 17-26

Brewers Hitting Stats

  • The Brewers average 1.3 home runs per game to rank eighth in MLB play with 78 total home runs.
  • The Brewers have racked up at least two homers in 23 games this season, and are 18-5 in those outings.
  • Milwaukee has 22 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Omar Narvaez leads Milwaukee in batting average (.311) this season while adding six home runs and 17 RBI.
  • Avisail Garcia leads Milwaukee in home runs with 12 and runs batted in with 36.

Pirates Hitting Stats

  • The Pirates have hit just 42 homers this season, which ranks last in the league.
  • They have averaged 0.8 home runs per game in their 29 road contests this season.
  • Over the last 10 games, Pittsburgh has hit six home runs.
  • During the Pirates’ four-game losing streak, they are slashing .175/.250/.308 and have scored eight runs.
  • Bryan Reynolds has accumulated a team-high 10 home runs and 30 runs batted in.
  • Frazier is hitting .329 to lead his team.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+235)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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