Reds Vs Rockies: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – June 11, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on June 11, 2021

The Cincinnati Reds (29-31) host the Colorado Rockies (25-38) at 7:10 PM ET on Friday for a meeting between two of the league’s best hitters. Nicholas Castellanos is batting .357 this year, first in the league, for the favored Reds (-235), while Yonathan Daza ranks eighth in the majors with a .318 average for the underdog Rockies. Cincinnati’s Tyler Mahle gets the start, and he’ll go against Colorado’s Kyle Freeland.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of June 11, 2021, 2:01 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Reds vs Rockies Betting Lines

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been favorites in 34 games this season and won 17 (50%) of those contests.
  • Cincinnati has played as a favorite of -235 or more once this season and won that game.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 67.4% chance of a victory for the Reds.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Reds and their opponents are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games with a total.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 13
ERA 4.80
K/9 10.2

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Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have won in 15, or 30.6%, of the 49 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Colorado has been victorious one time in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +195 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 32.6% chance of walking away with the win.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Rockies and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on four occasions.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 5
ERA 4.80
K/9 8.4

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Kyle Freeland

  • Freeland gets the start for the Rockies, his fourth of the season. He is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA and seven strikeouts in 13 innings pitched.
  • His most recent time out was on Sunday against the Athletics, when the left-hander tossed five innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing 10 hits.
  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 6.23, with 4.8 strikeouts per nine innings in three games this season. Opposing hitters have a .380 batting average against him.
  • Freeland is trying to record his second start of five or more innings this year in this outing.
  • The Rockies have been the underdog on the moneyline in three of Freeland’s starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those games.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 11, 2021 at 2:17 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 29-31
Home 13-16
Road 16-15
vs LHP (Starters) 5-3
vs RHP (Starters) 24-28
Day Games 10-10
Night Games 19-21

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Reds Probable Pitcher – Tyler Mahle

  • The Reds will send Mahle (5-2) to the mound for his 13th start this season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs in seven innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Cardinals.
  • Among qualified pitchers this year, the 26-year-old’s 10.40 K/9 ranks 17th, and his 2.90 BB/9 ranks 15th.
  • Mahle has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • His team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-3.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 11, 2021 at 2:17 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Rockies Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 25-38
Home 20-14
Road 5-24
vs LHP (Starters) 9-8
vs RHP (Starters) 16-30
Day Games 10-8
Night Games 15-30

Reds Hitting Stats

  • The Reds rank fifth-best in baseball with 83 total home runs.
  • The Reds have hit 50 home runs at home this season (1.7 per game).
  • Cincinnati has 13 home runs during the past 10 games.
  • Castellanos leads Cincinnati with a .357 batting average. He’s also hit 12 homers and has 33 RBI.
  • Jesse Winker is batting .346 this season with a team-high 17 home runs and 38 RBI.

Rockies Hitting Stats

  • The Rockies rank 29th in Major League Baseball with just 54 home runs as a team.
  • They have averaged 0.4 home runs per game in their 29 road contests this season.
  • Colorado has hit five home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Raimel Tapia is batting .286 with 12 doubles, five home runs and 15 walks.
  • Ryan McMahon has hit 13 home runs with 34 RBI. Both pace his team.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rockies (+195)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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