Braves Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – June 11, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on June 11, 2021

Coming off of a four-hit game in a win over the Rockies, Starling Marte leads the Miami Marlins (27-35) into action as +114 underdogs against the Atlanta Braves (29-31). Action gets underway from LoanDepot Park at 7:10 PM ET on Friday, live on BSFL. Charlie Morton gets the starting nod for Atlanta while Sandy Alcantara is Miami’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of June 11, 2021, 2:01 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Braves vs Marlins Betting Lines

Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves have won 19, or 47.5%, of the 40 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Atlanta is 15-14 this season when entering a game favored by -132 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.9% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • The Braves and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 10
ERA 4.12
K/9 8.1

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Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have been underdogs in 34 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (35.3%) in those contests.
  • This season, Miami has been victorious nine times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +114 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 45.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to clear the total seven times.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 13
ERA 4.21
K/9 8.9

Marlins Probable Pitcher – Sandy Alcantara

  • The Marlins are sending Alcantara (3-5) to the mound to make his 14th start of the season. He is 3-5 with a 3.30 ERA and 74 strikeouts over 79 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Sunday, the right-hander tossed eight innings against the Pirates, allowing no earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • The 25-year-old’s WHIP ranks 20th in WHIP among qualifying pitchers this season.
  • Alcantara is trying for his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.0 frames per start.
  • The Marlins have a 2-4 record in Alcantara’s six starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 11, 2021 at 2:22 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Braves Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 29-31
Home 17-17
Road 12-14
vs LHP (Starters) 7-8
vs RHP (Starters) 22-23
Day Games 5-7
Night Games 24-24

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Braves Probable Pitcher – Charlie Morton

  • Morton (5-2) will take to the mound for the Braves and make his 13th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in five innings against the Dodgers.
  • Among qualified pitchers this season, the 37-year-old’s 10.50 K/9 ranks 15th, and his 3.00 BB/9 ranks 12th.
  • Morton has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • His team has won 44.4% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-5).
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 11, 2021 at 2:22 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Marlins Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 27-35
Home 14-13
Road 13-22
vs LHP (Starters) 6-12
vs RHP (Starters) 21-23
Day Games 3-4
Night Games 24-31

Braves Hitting Stats

  • The Atlanta Braves have hit a league-leading 90 home runs, averaging 1.5 per game.
  • The Braves are 16-10 this season in games when they put up at least two home runs.
  • Atlanta has 10 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. leads Atlanta in home runs with 18 and runs batted in with 38.
  • Austin Riley’s batting average of .300 leads all Atlanta hitters this season.

Marlins Hitting Stats

  • The Marlins have hit just 58 homers this season, which ranks 26th in the league.
  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 14 games this season and are 10-4 in those matchups.
  • Miami has 13 homers over its last 10 games.
  • Jesus Aguilar paces the Marlins in home runs (12) and runs batted in (47).
  • Jazz Chisholm is batting .279 with six doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 12 walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Marlins (+114)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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