Rays Vs Orioles: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – June 11, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on June 11, 2021

The Baltimore Orioles (22-39) stumble into Friday’s matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays (39-24) looking to break a 12-game road losing streak. The contest starts at 7:10 PM ET on BSSUN with the Rays listed as -175 favorites, while the are +143 underdogs who may be heading for a 13th straight defeat away from home. Tampa Bay’s Ryan Yarbrough gets the start, and he’ll go against Baltimore’s Keegan Akin.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of June 11, 2021, 2:01 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Rays vs Orioles Betting Lines

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have entered the game as favorites 34 times this season and won 21, or 61.8%, of those games.
  • Tampa Bay has entered 11 games this season favored by -175 or more and is 6-5 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 60.7%.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 12
ERA 2.65
K/9 9.5

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Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have won in 20, or 37%, of the 54 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This year, Baltimore has won six of 23 games when listed as at least +143 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 39.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • In their last 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, the Orioles and their foes are 5-5 when it comes to hitting the over.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 14
ERA 4.45
K/9 9.8

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Keegan Akin

  • Akin (0-0) gets the starting nod for the Orioles, his third of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Friday, the left-hander threw five scoreless innings against the Indians while surrendering three hits.
  • Akin will try to collect his second outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 3.0 innings per appearance.
  • The Orioles were named the moneyline underdog for five Akin starts this season — they lost each time.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 11, 2021 at 2:29 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Rays Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 39-25
Home 16-15
Road 23-10
vs LHP (Starters) 15-9
vs RHP (Starters) 24-16
Day Games 5-0
Night Games 34-25

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Ryan Yarbrough

  • Yarbrough (3-3) will take the mound for the Rays, his ninth start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in nine innings pitched against the Yankees on Thursday, June 3.
  • Among qualified major league pitchers this season, the 29-year-old’s BB/9 and strikeout total are not in the top 20.
  • Yarbrough has made nine starts of five or more innings in eight chances this season, and averages 5.2 frames when he pitches.
  • His team has been victorious in 75% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-1.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 11, 2021 at 2:29 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Orioles Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 22-39
Home 11-21
Road 11-18
vs LHP (Starters) 8-13
vs RHP (Starters) 14-26
Day Games 1-3
Night Games 21-36

Rays Hitting Stats

  • The Rays average 1.2 home runs per game to rank 12th in MLB play with 76 total home runs .
  • The Rays are 15-3 this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Tampa Bay has hit 12 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Joey Wendle leads Tampa Bay with a batting average of .288. He’s also hit seven home runs with 29 RBI.
  • Randy Arozarena has collected 60 hits this season and has an OBP of .342. He’s slugging .404 on the year.

Orioles Hitting Stats

  • The Orioles’ 67 home runs rank 19th in Major League Baseball.
  • They have averaged 1 home runs per game in their 29 road contests this season.
  • Baltimore has 14 homers over its last 10 games.
  • Cedric Mullins paces the Orioles with a .323 batting average.
  • Trey Mancini has hit 11 home runs with 45 runs batted in. Both are team-highs.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Orioles (+143)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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