Red Sox Vs Blue Jays: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – June 11, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on June 11, 2021

Two of the league’s top power hitters will meet Friday when the Boston Red Sox (38-25) and Toronto Blue Jays (31-29) take to the field at 7:10 PM ET, live on NESN. Rafael Devers has 15 home runs for the Red Sox (-134 favorites on the moneyline) while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 18 homers this season for the Blue Jays (+112). Garrett Richards starts for Boston while Toronto will counter with Ross Stripling.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of June 11, 2021, 2:01 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Betting Lines

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • This season, the Red Sox have been favored 42 times and won 23, or 54.8%, of those games.
  • Boston has a record of 15-11 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -134 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 8
ERA 4.04
K/9 10.1

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Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have won in 19, or 57.6%, of the 33 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Toronto has a mark of 11-7 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +112 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 45.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Blue Jays and their opponents are 3-7 in their last 10 games.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 10
ERA 4.52
K/9 8.9

Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Ross Stripling

  • Stripling (2-3 with a 4.71 ERA and 43 strikeouts in 42 innings pitched) gets the start for the Blue Jays, his ninth of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance came on Saturday against the Astros, when he threw five innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing seven hits.
  • The 31-year-old has an ERA of 4.71, with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings in nine games this season. Opponents have a .283 batting average against him.
  • Stripling will try to build on a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.1 innings per appearance).
  • The Blue Jays are 4-3 in Stripling’s seven starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 11, 2021 at 2:33 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Red Sox Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 38-25
Home 18-15
Road 20-10
vs LHP (Starters) 12-7
vs RHP (Starters) 25-18
Day Games 0-3
Night Games 38-22

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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Garrett Richards

  • Richards (4-4) will take the mound for the Red Sox, his 13th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw five innings against the Yankees, giving up three earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • The 33-year-old’s BB/9 ranks first in BB/9 among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.
  • Richards has pitched five or more innings in eight straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • His team has a record of 3-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 11, 2021 at 2:33 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Blue Jays Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 31-29
Home 13-13
Road 18-16
vs LHP (Starters) 5-9
vs RHP (Starters) 26-20
Day Games 4-1
Night Games 27-28

Red Sox Hitting Stats

  • The Red Sox rank 10th-best in MLB play with 77 total home runs.
  • The Red Sox average 1.1 homers per game when playing at home this season (35 total in home outings).
  • Boston has eight home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Xander Bogaerts leads Boston with a .324 batting average. He’s also hit 11 homers and has 38 RBI.
  • J.D. Martinez has collected 68 hits this season and has an OBP of .367. He’s slugging .557 on the year.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats

  • The Blue Jays have hit 85 homers this season, which ranks fourth in the league.
  • They have won 19 of the 27 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Toronto has hit 10 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Guerrero paces the Blue Jays in home runs (18), runs batted in (48) and has a team-best batting average of .329.
  • Marcus Semien has 13 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 25 walks while batting .289.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Red Sox (-134)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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