Mets Vs Padres: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – June 11, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on June 11, 2021

The New York Mets (30-24) and Billy McKinney (2 HR in his last game) are favored (-167) on the moneyline for their matchup with the San Diego Padres (37-27) on Friday at 7:10 PM ET on MLB Network. Jacob deGrom starts for New York while San Diego will counter with Blake Snell.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of June 11, 2021, 2:01 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Mets vs Padres Betting Lines

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets have entered the game as favorites 32 times this season and won 19, or 59.4%, of those games.
  • New York is 7-6 this season when entering a game favored by -167 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have a 60% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 8-2 when it comes to hitting the over.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.1
HR 22
ERA 3.30
K/9 9.3

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Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been victorous in six, or 40%, of the 15 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • San Diego has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +140.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 40% chance of pulling out a win.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Padres and their opponents are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.5
HR 7
ERA 4.45
K/9 10.4

Padres Probable Pitcher – Blake Snell

  • Snell gets the start for the Padres, his 13th of the season. He is 2-2 with a 4.83 ERA and 80 strikeouts in 54 innings pitched.
  • The lefty’s most recent time out came on Saturday against the Mets, when he tossed seven scoreless innings while allowing just one hit.
  • During 12 games this season, the 28-year-old has a 4.83 ERA and 13.3 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .216 to opposing batters.
  • Snell is trying to record his seventh start of five or more innings this year in this outing.
  • The Padres are 1-3 in Snell’s four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 11, 2021 at 2:37 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Mets Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 30-24
Home 15-5
Road 15-19
vs LHP (Starters) 6-9
vs RHP (Starters) 24-15
Day Games 7-3
Night Games 23-21

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Jacob deGrom

  • The Mets will send deGrom (5-2) to the mound for his 10th start this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw seven scoreless innings against the Padres while allowing three hits.
  • Among qualified major league pitchers this season, the 32-year-old’s .62 ERA ranks first, his .570 WHIP ranks first, his 93 strikeouts rank eighth, and his 14.40 K/9 ranks first.
  • deGrom has nine starts of five or more innings this season in nine chances. He averages 6.0 innings per outing.
  • When he starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-3.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 11, 2021 at 2:37 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Padres Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 37-27
Home 21-14
Road 16-13
vs LHP (Starters) 10-3
vs RHP (Starters) 27-24
Day Games 3-1
Night Games 34-26

Mets Hitting Stats

  • The Mets are third-worst in MLB action with 56 home runs.
  • The Mets average 1.0 home run per game when playing at home this season (19 total in home outings).
  • New York has hit 22 home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs with 10 and runs batted in with 31.
  • Dominic Smith is batting .253 with an OBP of .315 and a slugging percentage of .360 this season.

Padres Hitting Stats

  • The Padres’ 63 home runs rank 22nd in Major League Baseball.
  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 18 games this season and are 14-4 in those matchups.
  • San Diego has seven homers over its last 10 games.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. paces the Padres with 17 home runs and 39 runs batted in, while racking up a team-best batting average of .277.
  • Jake Cronenworth has 13 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 20 walks while batting .276.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Mets (-167)

Over/Under Pick: Over (6)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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