Phillies Vs Braves: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – June 10, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on June 10, 2021

The Philadelphia Phillies (29-31) are -137 favorites to take Game 3 of their series with the Atlanta Braves (29-30) on Thursday at 1:05 PM ET. The teams enter the matchup with the series record tied at 1-1, and the underdog Braves are listed with +120 odds to win the rubber match and take the series victory. Philadelphia’s Zack Wheeler gets the start, and he’ll go against Atlanta’s Ian Anderson.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of June 10, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Phillies vs Braves Betting Lines

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 28 times this season and won 13, or 46.4%, of those games.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 7-5, a 58.3% win rate, when favored by -137 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 56% chance to win.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Phillies and their opponents are 6-4 in their last 10 games with a total.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 15
ERA 4.34
K/9 8.9

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Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been victorous in 10, or 52.6%, of the 19 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Atlanta has not lost in five games this year when given odds of +120 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 44% chance of walking away with the win.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Braves and their foes are 5-5 in their previous 10 contests.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 9
ERA 4.77
K/9 9

Braves Probable Pitcher – Ian Anderson

  • Anderson (4-3) takes the mound first for the Braves in his 12th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.64 ERA in 59 1/3 innings pitched, with 65 strikeouts.
  • In his last time out on Friday against the Dodgers, the right-hander threw 4 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs while surrendering one hit.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 23-year-old ranks sixth in BB/9.
  • Anderson will try to pick up his ninth outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • The Braves were the moneyline underdog for two Anderson starts this season — they split the games.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 10, 2021 at 2:15 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Phillies Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 29-31
Home 18-12
Road 11-19
vs LHP (Starters) 8-13
vs RHP (Starters) 21-18
Day Games 10-4
Night Games 19-27

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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler

  • The Phillies will hand the ball to Wheeler (4-3) for his 13th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs in 7 1/3 innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Nationals.
  • Among qualified pitchers this season, the 31-year-old’s 2.51 ERA ranks 16th, his .920 WHIP ranks 13th, his 100 strikeouts rank sixth, and his 10.90 K/9 ranks 12th.
  • Wheeler will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • When he starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-4.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 10, 2021 at 2:15 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Braves Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 29-30
Home 17-17
Road 12-13
vs LHP (Starters) 7-8
vs RHP (Starters) 22-22
Day Games 5-6
Night Games 24-24

Phillies Hitting Stats

  • The Phillies average 1.1 home runs per game to rank 20th in MLB action with 65 total home runs .
  • The Phillies average one home run per game when playing at home this season (31 total in home contests).
  • Philadelphia has 15 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Rhys Hoskins leads Philadelphia in home runs with 12 and runs batted in with 35.
  • J.T. Realmuto has collected 41 hits this season and has an OBP of .402. He’s slugging .493 on the year.

Braves Hitting Stats

  • The Braves rank second in Major League Baseball with 89 home runs.
  • They’ve hit 30 homers, an average of 1.2 per game, in 25 road contests this season.
  • Atlanta has nine homers over its last 10 games.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has accumulated a team-best 18 home runs and 38 runs batted in.
  • Austin Riley is batting .306 with 10 doubles, 11 home runs and 20 walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Phillies (-137)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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