Brewers Vs Reds: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – June 10, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on June 10, 2021

The Milwaukee Brewers (34-27) and Willy Adames, coming off of a four-hit game, are favored (-121) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Cincinnati Reds (29-30) on Thursday at 12:35 PM ET on BSOH. Milwaukee’s Freddy Peralta gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Luis Castillo.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of June 10, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Brewers vs Reds Betting Lines

Brewers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Brewers have won 21 out of the 39 games, or 53.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Milwaukee has a record of 13-16, a 44.8% win rate, when favored by -121 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.8% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • The Brewers and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 21
ERA 3.07
K/9 11.4

Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been underdogs in 25 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (48%) in those contests.
  • This year, Cincinnati has won nine of 17 games when listed as at least +104 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 47.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on five occasions.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 12
ERA 4.96
K/9 9.9

Reds Probable Pitcher – Luis Castillo

  • Castillo makes the start for the Reds, his 13th of the season. He is 2-8 with a 6.63 ERA and 53 strikeouts through 58 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent time out was on Saturday against the Cardinals, when the righty threw six innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up three hits.
  • The 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 6.63, with 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings in 12 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .304 batting average against him.
  • Castillo will look to build on a five-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.1 frames per appearance).
  • The Reds have a 1-5 record in Castillo’s six starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 10, 2021 at 2:17 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Brewers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 34-27
Home 17-15
Road 17-12
vs LHP (Starters) 8-7
vs RHP (Starters) 26-19
Day Games 11-7
Night Games 23-20

Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Freddy Peralta

  • The Brewers will hand the ball to Peralta (6-1) for his 12th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 7 1/3 innings against the Diamondbacks, giving up one earned run while allowing one hit.
  • Among qualified pitchers this campaign, the 25-year-old’s 2.25 ERA ranks ninth, his .880 WHIP ranks eighth, his 92 strikeouts rank ninth, his 12.90 K/9 ranks second, and his 3.80 BB/9 ranks sixth.
  • Peralta will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • His team has been victorious in 72.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-3.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 10, 2021 at 2:17 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 29-30
Home 13-15
Road 16-15
vs LHP (Starters) 5-3
vs RHP (Starters) 24-27
Day Games 10-9
Night Games 19-21

Brewers Hitting Stats

  • The Brewers rank eighth in MLB play with 77 home runs. They average 1.3 per game.
  • The Brewers average 1.2 homers per road game this season (36 total away from home).
  • Milwaukee has collected 21 home runs during the last 10 games.
  • Omar Narvaez leads Milwaukee with a batting average of .311. He’s also hit six home runs with 17 RBI.
  • Avisail Garcia leads Milwaukee in home runs (12) and runs batted in (35) this season while batting .247.

Reds Hitting Stats

  • The Reds have hit 82 homers this season, which ranks fifth in the league.
  • In 28 games at home this season, they’ve hit 49 homers, an average of 1.8 per contest.
  • Over the last 10 games, Cincinnati has hit 12 home runs.
  • Nicholas Castellanos paces the Reds with a .355 batting average.
  • Jesse Winker’s 17 home runs are a team-high mark.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Brewers (-121)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy