Clippers Vs Mavericks: NBA Playoffs Game 7 Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – June 6, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on June 5, 2021

The Los Angeles Clippers (47-25, 3-3) are 6.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 7 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Dallas Mavericks (42-30, 3-3) at Staples Center on Sunday, starting at 3:30 PM ET on ABC. The series is tied 3-3. The point total is 215 in the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of June 5, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Clippers vs Mavericks Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of June 5

Clippers:
Serge Ibaka: Day To Day (Back)

Mavericks:
Maxi Kleber: Day To Day (Achilles),
Luka Doncic: Day To Day (Neck),
JJ Redick: Out (Heel)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Mavericks (+6.5)
Total Pick Over (215)
Prediction Clippers 114, Mavericks 108

The DraftKings line for this matchup is within 0.2 points of the model. Stay away from this one.

The model predicts a total 6.9 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Clippers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Kawhi Leonard 52 24.8 6.5 5.2 1.6 0.4 1.9
Paul George 54 23.3 6.6 5.2 1.1 0.4 3.2
Marcus Morris 57 13.4 4.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 2.5
Serge Ibaka 41 11.1 6.7 1.8 0.2 1.1 1.0
Reggie Jackson 67 10.7 2.9 3.1 0.6 0.1 1.8

Clippers Player Props

  • Kawhi Leonard’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 39.5, 3.0 greater than his season average of 36.5.
  • Ivica Zubac’s rebounding prop total for the matchup is listed at 5.5 rebounds, 1.7 rebounds lower than his season average of 7.2.
  • Paul George’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.3 shots greater than his season average of 3.2.
  • Serge Ibaka’s blocks prop over/under for the contest is set at 0.5, 0.6 blocks lower than his season average of 1.1.

Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 66 27.7 8.0 8.6 1.0 0.5 2.9
Kristaps Porzingis 43 20.1 8.9 1.6 0.5 1.3 2.3
Tim Hardaway Jr. 70 16.6 3.3 1.8 0.4 0.2 3.0
Jalen Brunson 68 12.6 3.4 3.5 0.5 0.0 1.2
Josh Richardson 59 12.1 3.3 2.6 1.0 0.4 1.5

Mavericks Player Props

  • Luka Doncic’s assists prop total for the matchup is posted at 8.5 assists, 0.1 assists less than his season average of 8.6.
  • Kristaps Porzingis’ PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 29.5, 1.1 lower than his season average of 30.6.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr.’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 3.5, 0.5 shots higher than his season average of 3.0.
  • Porzingis’ blocks prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.2 blocks higher than his season average of 1.3.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Clippers have a 48.2% shooting percentage from the field, which is two% higher than the 46.2% of shots the Mavericks’ opponents have made.
  • In games Los Angeles shoots better than 46.2% from the field, it is 36-14 against the spread and 42-8 overall.
  • Dallas has a 34-16 record against the spread and a 36-14 record overall when allowing its opponents to knock down more than 48.2% of their shots from the field.
  • The Mavericks have shot at a 46.9% clip from the field this season, 0.6 percentage points above the 46.3% shooting opponents of the Clippers have averaged.
  • This season, Dallas has a 27-15 record against the spread and a 32-10 record overall in games the team collectively shoots over 46.3% from the field.
  • Los Angeles is 30-14-1 against the spread and 35-10 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot higher than 46.9% from the field.
  • The Clippers’ 40.7% three-point shooting percentage this season is 4.3 percentage points higher than opponents of the Mavericks have shot from deep (36.4%).
  • Los Angeles has assembled a 34-17 record against the spread and a 38-13 straight-up record in games this season when the team makes more than 36.4% of its three-point attempts.
  • Dallas is 33-18 against the spread and 37-14 overall when its opponents shoot higher than 40.7% from deep.
  • The Mavericks’ three-point shooting percentage this season (36.5%) is just 0.5 percentage points higher than opponents of the Clippers are averaging (36%).
  • Dallas is 26-14 against the spread and 31-9 overall when shooting over 36% as a team from three-point range.
  • Los Angeles has a 29-14-1 ATS record and a 34-10 straight-up record this season when it hits more than 36.5% of its three-point shots.
  • The Clippers make 14.1 three-pointers per game this season, just 0.3 more made shots on average than the 13.8 per game the Mavericks give up.
  • Los Angeles is 36-14 against the spread and 39-11 overall when it makes more threes than its opponents, while Dallas is 5-25 ATS and 6-24 straight up in games when it is out-shot from deep.
  • The Mavericks rank eighth in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Clippers give up the sixth-fewest made threes in the league.

Clippers vs Mavericks Stat Rankings

Clippers Rank Clippers AVG Mavericks AVG Mavericks Rank
10th 113.6 Points Scored 111.9 17th
4th 107.6 Points Allowed 110.1 9th
23rd 44.1 Rebounds 43 20th
21st 9.4 Off. Rebounds 9.1 25th
6th 14.1 3pt Made 13.8 8th
17th 24.2 Assists 22.7 26th
7th 12.3 Turnovers 11.3 3rd

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