Clippers Vs Mavericks: NBA Playoffs Game 6 Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – June 4, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on June 3, 2021

The Los Angeles Clippers (47-25, 2-3) are 3-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 6 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Dallas Mavericks (42-30, 3-2) at American Airlines Center on Friday, starting at 9:00 PM ET on ESPN. The Mavericks lead the series 3-2. The over/under for the matchup is set at 216.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of June 3, 2021, 12:05 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Clippers vs Mavericks Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of June 3

Clippers:
Serge Ibaka: Out (Back)

Mavericks:
JJ Redick: Out (Heel)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Mavericks (+3)
Total Pick Over (216.5)
Prediction Clippers 112, Mavericks 111

The spread for this game suggested by the model (0.3 points) is a little bit less than the 3-point edge DraftKings gives to the Clippers, though the data still has them as the favorite.

The model predicts a total 5.4 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Clippers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Kawhi Leonard 52 24.8 6.5 5.2 1.6 0.4 1.9
Paul George 54 23.3 6.6 5.2 1.1 0.4 3.2
Marcus Morris 57 13.4 4.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 2.5
Serge Ibaka 41 11.1 6.7 1.8 0.2 1.1 1.0
Reggie Jackson 67 10.7 2.9 3.1 0.6 0.1 1.8

Clippers Player Props

  • Kawhi Leonard’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 42.5, 6.0 greater than his season average of 36.5.
  • Paul George’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 37.5, 2.4 greater than his season average of 35.1.
  • George’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.7 shots less than his season average of 3.2.
  • Leonard’s steals prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.1 steals less than his season average of 1.6.

Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 66 27.7 8.0 8.6 1.0 0.5 2.9
Kristaps Porzingis 43 20.1 8.9 1.6 0.5 1.3 2.3
Tim Hardaway Jr. 70 16.6 3.3 1.8 0.4 0.2 3.0
Jalen Brunson 68 12.6 3.4 3.5 0.5 0.0 1.2
Josh Richardson 59 12.1 3.3 2.6 1.0 0.4 1.5

Mavericks Player Props

  • Luka Doncic’s assists prop total for the matchup is set at 9.5 assists, 0.9 greater than his season average of 8.6.
  • Kristaps Porzingis’ PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 23.5, 7.1 less than his season average of 30.6.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr.’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 2.5, 0.5 shots less than his season average of 3.0.
  • Josh Richardson’s steals prop total for the game is set at 0.5, 0.5 steals less than his season average of 1.0.

Shooting Trends

  • The Clippers make 48.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is two percentage points higher than the Mavericks have allowed to their opponents (46.2%).
  • In games Los Angeles shoots higher than 46.2% from the field, it is 35-14 against the spread and 41-8 overall.
  • Dallas’ record is 34-15 against the spread and 36-13 overall when its opponents make more than 48.2% of their shots from the field.
  • The Mavericks’ 47% shooting percentage from the field this season is 0.7 percentage points higher than the Clippers have given up to their opponents (46.3%).
  • This season, Dallas has a 27-15 record against the spread and a 32-10 record overall in games the team collectively shoots above 46.3% from the field.
  • When Los Angeles’ opponents shoot over 47% from the field, it is 30-14-1 against the spread and 35-10 overall.
  • The Clippers are hitting 40.8% of their three-point shots this season, 4.3% higher than the 36.5% the Mavericks allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Los Angeles has a 34-17 record against the spread and a 38-13 record overall when the team connects on more than 36.5% of its three-point attempts.
  • Dallas is 33-17 against the spread and 37-13 overall when its opponents shoot better than 40.8% from deep.
  • The Mavericks shoot 36.6% from three-point distance this season. That’s just 0.6 percentage points higher than the Clippers have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (36%).
  • Dallas has a 26-14 ATS record and is 31-9 straight-up when the team hits more than 36% of its three-point attempts.
  • Los Angeles has a 29-15-1 ATS record and a 35-10 straight-up record this season when it knocks down more than 36.6% of its three-point shots.
  • The Clippers connect on 14.2 three-pointers per game this season, only 0.3 more makes per game than the Mavericks allow 13.9.
  • Los Angeles has gone 36-14 against the spread and 39-11 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Dallas hits fewer threes than its opponents, it is 5-25 ATS and 6-24 straight up.
  • The Mavericks rank eighth in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Clippers give up the sixth-fewest made threes in the league.

Clippers vs Mavericks Stat Rankings

Clippers Rank Clippers AVG Mavericks AVG Mavericks Rank
10th 113.7 Points Scored 112.1 17th
4th 107.8 Points Allowed 110.1 9th
23rd 44.1 Rebounds 43.1 20th
21st 9.4 Off. Rebounds 9.2 25th
6th 14.2 3pt Made 13.9 8th
17th 24.2 Assists 22.7 26th
7th 12.3 Turnovers 11.3 3rd

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