The Portland Trail Blazers (42-30, 2-3) are 5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 6 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets (47-25, 3-2) at Moda Center on Thursday, starting at 8:00 PM ET on TNT. The Nuggets lead the series 3-2. The matchup has a point total of 227.5.
The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of June 2, 2021, 12:05 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.
Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Betting Odds
Injury Report as of June 2
Zach Collins: Out For Season (Ankle)
Will Barton: Day To Day (Hamstring),
Jamal Murray: Out For Season (Knee),
PJ Dozier: Out (Adductor)
|Spread Pick||Nuggets (+5)|
|Total Pick||Over (227.5)|
|Prediction||Trail Blazers 115, Nuggets 114|
The spread for this game suggested by the model (1.3 points) is considerably less than the 5-point edge FanDuel gives to the Trail Blazers, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Nuggets to cover.
In this game, the model projects a total (228.6 points) a little higher than the FanDuel over/under (227.5 points).
Trail Blazers Key Players
Trail Blazers Player Props
- Damian Lillard’s assists prop over/under for the game is set at 8.5 assists, 1.0 assist greater than his season average of 7.5.
- Enes Kanter’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 20.5, 2.9 less than his season average of 23.4.
- Lillard’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 4.5, 0.4 shots higher than his season average of 4.1.
- Robert Covington’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.3 blocks higher than his season average of 1.2.
Nuggets Key Players
|Michael Porter Jr.||61||19.0||7.3||1.1||0.7||0.9||2.8|
Nuggets Player Props
- Nikola Jokic’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 49.5, 4.0 higher than his season average of 45.5.
- Michael Porter Jr.’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 2.5, 0.3 shots lower than his season average of 2.8.
- JaVale McGee’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 0.5, 0.7 blocks lower than his season average of 1.2.
- This season, the Trail Blazers have a 45.4% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.5% lower than the 46.9% of shots the Nuggets’ opponents have made.
- In games Portland shoots higher than 46.9% from the field, it is 23-10-1 against the spread and 27-7 overall.
- Denver is 23-5 against the spread and 25-3 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 45.4% from the field.
- The Nuggets are shooting 48.4% from the field, 1.1% higher than the 47.3% the Trail Blazers’ opponents have shot this season.
- This season, Denver has a 28-18 record against the spread and a 37-9 record overall in games the team collectively shoots better than 47.3% from the field.
- This season, Portland has a 30-14-1 record against the spread and a 31-14 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot greater than 48.4% from the field.
- The Trail Blazers shoot 38.7% from beyond the arc, two% higher than the 36.7% the Nuggets allow to opponents.
- Portland has a 30-15-1 record against the spread and a 34-12 record overall when the team hits more than 36.7% of its three-point shots.
- Denver is 26-19 against the spread and 35-10 overall when its opponents shoot higher than 38.7% from deep.
- The Nuggets are making 37.8% of their shots from deep, which is only 0.4 percentage points greater than the 37.4% the Trail Blazers’ opponents are averaging on the season.
- Denver has a 22-18 ATS record and is 28-12 straight-up when the team makes more than 37.4% of its three-point attempts.
- Portland has a 30-10 ATS record and a 29-11 straight-up record this season when it knocks down more than 37.8% of its three-point shots.
- The Trail Blazers knock down 15.8 three-pointers per game this season, 2.8 more makes per game than the Nuggets give up (13).
- Portland has gone 33-22-1 against the spread and 37-19 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Denver makes fewer threes than its opponents, it is 16-24 ATS and 22-18 straight up.
- The Trail Blazers are the second-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Nuggets give up the 20th-fewest makes from deep.
Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Stat Rankings
|Trail Blazers Rank||Trail Blazers AVG||Nuggets AVG||Nuggets Rank|
Powered By Data Skrive using data from