Astros Vs Red Sox: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 31, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on May 31, 2021

The Houston Astros (28-24) are favored on the moneyline (-112) in Monday’s contest with the Boston Red Sox (32-20), which starts at 4:10 PM ET on ESPN. However, the Red Sox are favored against the spread (1.5) with +165 odds. Jose Urquidy starts for Houston while Boston will counter with Eduardo Rodriguez.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of May 31, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Astros vs Red Sox Betting Lines

Astros Betting Insights

  • The Astros have been favorites in 40 games this season and won 22 (55%) of those contests.
  • Houston has entered 40 games this season favored by -112 or more and is 22-18 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 50.6% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 10
ERA 4.26
K/9 8.7

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Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have been underdogs in 15 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (80%) in those contests.
  • Boston has a mark of 11-3 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 49.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • In their previous 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, the Red Sox and their opponents are 5-5 when it comes to hitting the over.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5
HR 15
ERA 4.02
K/9 10.5

Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Eduardo Rodríguez

  • Rodriguez makes the start for the Red Sox, his 10th of the season. He is 5-3 with a 5.06 ERA and 54 strikeouts in 48 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Sunday, May 23 against the Phillies, the lefty threw four innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • The 28-year-old has a 5.06 ERA and 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings over nine games this season, while allowing a batting average of .290 to opposing hitters.
  • Rodríguez will try to collect his ninth game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • The Red Sox have a 1-2 record in Rodríguez’s three starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 31, 2021 at 2:12 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Astros Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 29-24
Home 17-12
Road 12-12
vs LHP (Starters) 14-12
vs RHP (Starters) 15-12
Day Games 1-4
Night Games 28-20

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Astros Probable Pitcher – Jose Urquidy

  • The Astros’ Urquidy (3-2) will make his ninth start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, May 13, when he threw 3 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing two hits against the Angels.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched in eight games this season with a 3.22 ERA, 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings and a batting average against of .223.
  • In eight starts, Urquidy has pitched through or past the fifth inning six times. He has a season average of 5.2 frames per outing.
  • His team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-2.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 31, 2021 at 2:12 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Red Sox Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 32-20
Home 16-13
Road 16-7
vs LHP (Starters) 12-5
vs RHP (Starters) 20-15
Day Games 0-3
Night Games 32-17

Astros Hitting Stats

  • The Astros average 1.1 home runs per game to rank 16th in MLB play with 59 total home runs .
  • The Astros are 13-2 this season in games when they send out two or more home runs.
  • Houston has 10 home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Yuli Gurriel is batting .309 for Houston with a team-high 38 RBI.
  • Alex Bregman is batting .297 with an OBP of .379 and a slugging percentage of .451 this season.

Red Sox Hitting Stats

  • The Red Sox rank seventh in Major League Baseball with 68 home runs.
  • They have averaged 1.6 home runs per game in their 23 road contests this season.
  • Boston has hit 15 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • J.D. Martinez has accumulated a team-high batting average of .328.
  • Xander Bogaerts is hitting .326 with 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 16 walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Astros (-112)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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