Reds Vs Phillies: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 31, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on May 31, 2021

Nicholas Castellanos (16 games) will look to add one more to his hitting streak when the Cincinnati Reds (23-28) and Philadelphia Phillies (25-28) meet on Monday at 2:10 PM ET, live on BSOH from Great American Ball Park. Castellanos and the Reds are favored by sportsbooks with -118 odds on the moneyline. Cincinnati’s Wade Miley and Philadelphia’s Vince Velasquez have been named the starters for this contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of May 31, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Reds vs Phillies Betting Lines

Reds Betting Insights

  • This season, the Reds have won 14 out of the 29 games, or 48.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Cincinnati is 13-12 this season when entering a game favored by -118 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 52.2% chance to win.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 13
ERA 5.40
K/9 9.2

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been underdogs in 29 games this season and have come away with the win 15 times (51.7%) in those contests.
  • This season, Philadelphia has been victorious 10 times in 22 chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 47.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on five occasions.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3
HR 7
ERA 4.50
K/9 11

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Vince Velásquez

  • Velasquez (2-0 with a 2.95 ERA and 45 strikeouts in 36 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Phillies, his seventh of the season.
  • In his most recent appearance on Tuesday, the right-hander threw six scoreless innings against the Marlins while surrendering three hits.
  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 2.95, with 11 strikeouts per nine innings in 10 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .191 batting average against him.
  • Velásquez enters this matchup with four outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
  • The Phillies have been the underdog on the moneyline in seven of Velásquez’s starts this season, and they went 4-3 in those matchups.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 31, 2021 at 2:17 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 23-28
Home 11-13
Road 12-15
vs LHP (Starters) 3-3
vs RHP (Starters) 20-25
Day Games 7-9
Night Games 16-19

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Reds Probable Pitcher – Wade Miley

  • Miley (4-4) will take the mound for the Reds, his ninth start of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday, May 19, when he gave up one earned run and allowed six hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Giants.
  • The 34-year-old has pitched to a 3.50 ERA this season with 7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.3 walks per nine across eight games.
  • Miley has started eight games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings six times. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • His team has won 80% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-1).
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 31, 2021 at 2:17 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Phillies Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 25-28
Home 15-10
Road 10-18
vs LHP (Starters) 7-11
vs RHP (Starters) 18-17
Day Games 8-3
Night Games 17-25

Reds Hitting Stats

  • The Reds rank fourth in MLB action with 71 home runs. They average 1.4 per game.
  • The Reds have racked up at least two dingers in 22 games this season, and are 13-9 in those contests.
  • Cincinnati has 13 home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Castellanos leads Cincinnati with a .359 batting average. He’s also hit 12 homers and has 31 RBI.
  • Jesse Winker leads Cincinnati in home runs with 13 while driving in 29 runs and slugging .635.

Phillies Hitting Stats

  • The Phillies’ 52 home runs rank 22nd in Major League Baseball.
  • They are 7-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Philadelphia has hit seven home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Rhys Hoskins has racked up a team-high 11 home runs and 31 runs batted in.
  • Jean Segura has a club-best .321 batting average.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Reds (-118)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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