Mets Vs Braves: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 30, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on May 30, 2021

The New York Mets (25-20) will look to James McCann, who is coming off of a four-hit game, to lead them in a matchup with the Atlanta Braves (24-26) on Sunday at 7:08 PM ET on ESPN. McCann and the Mets are -124 favorites for the contest, according to sportsbooks. Jacob deGrom gets the starting nod for New York while Max Fried is Atlanta’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of May 30, 2021, 6:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Mets vs Braves Betting Lines

Mets Betting Insights

  • This season, the Mets have won 16 out of the 27 games, or 59.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • New York has a record of 15-10 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -124 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 53.5% chance to win.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 12
ERA 2.60
K/9 10.9

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Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves have come away with seven wins in the 14 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Atlanta has a mark of 4-4 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +108 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 46.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Braves and their opponents have combined to clear the total five times.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 21
ERA 3.13
K/9 9.5

Braves Probable Pitcher – Max Fried

  • Fried gets the start for the Braves, his eighth of the season. He is 2-2 with a 4.63 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 35 innings pitched.
  • The left-hander’s most recent appearance came on Sunday against the Pirates, when he threw seven innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up four hits.
  • In seven games this season, the 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.63, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .279 against him.
  • Fried will try to build upon a four-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing).
  • The Braves were the moneyline underdog for one Fried start this season — they lost.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 30, 2021 at 6:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Mets Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 25-20
Home 15-5
Road 10-15
vs LHP (Starters) 5-6
vs RHP (Starters) 20-14
Day Games 7-3
Night Games 18-17

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Jacob deGrom

  • The Mets will send deGrom (3-2) to the mound for his eighth start this season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in five innings pitched against the Rockies on Tuesday.
  • The 32-year-old has an ERA of .80, 14.8 strikeouts per nine innings and a batting average against of .132 in seven games this season.
  • In seven starts this season, deGrom has lasted five or more innings seven times, with an average of 6.0 innings per appearance.
  • His team has a record of 4-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 30, 2021 at 6:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Braves Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 24-26
Home 13-14
Road 11-12
vs LHP (Starters) 5-6
vs RHP (Starters) 19-20
Day Games 3-6
Night Games 21-20

Mets Hitting Stats

  • The Mets are second-worst in MLB play with 39 home runs.
  • The Mets average one home run per home game this season (19 total at home).
  • New York has 12 home runs during the past 10 games.
  • Jonathan Villar leads New York with five home runs this season. He’s batting .231 with 13 RBI.
  • Dominic Smith leads New York in runs batted in (16) this season. He’s batting .242 while slugging .315.

Braves Hitting Stats

  • The Braves lead Major League Baseball in home runs with 80.
  • They have won 15 of the 25 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Atlanta has hit 21 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Austin Riley is batting .313 with eight doubles, 10 home runs and 20 walks.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has shown off his power as he leads his team with 15 home runs and 32 RBI.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Mets (-124)

Over/Under Pick: Over (5.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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