Nationals Vs Brewers: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 30, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on May 30, 2021

The Washington Nationals (21-27) are favored on the moneyline (-115) in Sunday’s contest with the Milwaukee Brewers (27-25), which starts at 1:05 PM ET on MASN. However, the Brewers are favored against the spread (1.5) with +170 odds. Max Scherzer takes the mound for Washington while Brandon Woodruff is Milwaukee’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of May 30, 2021, 6:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Nationals vs Brewers Betting Lines

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals have won 13, or 56.5%, of the 23 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Washington has entered 21 games this season favored by -115 or more and is 12-9 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 51.7% chance of a victory for the Nationals.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents are 3-7 when it comes to hitting the over.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 8
ERA 4.34
K/9 9.1

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Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 19 games this year and have walked away with the win 11 times (57.9%) in those games.
  • Milwaukee has a win-loss record of 8-6 when favored by +100 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 48.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Brewers and their foes are 7-3 in their last 10 contests.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 11
ERA 4.19
K/9 9.8

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Brandon Woodruff

  • Woodruff (3-2) takes the mound first for the Brewers in his 11th start of the season. He’s put together a 1.41 ERA in 64 innings pitched, with 73 strikeouts.
  • The right-hander’s most recent appearance came on Monday against the Padres, when he tossed seven scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
  • The 28-year-old ranks second in ERA (1.41), first in WHIP (.700), 15th in strikeouts (73), and 18th in K/9 (10.30) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.
  • Woodruff will try to extend a 10-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.0 frames per appearance).
  • The Brewers were the moneyline underdog for three Woodruff starts this season — they won every time.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 30, 2021 at 6:35 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Nationals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 21-27
Home 13-14
Road 8-13
vs LHP (Starters) 4-7
vs RHP (Starters) 17-20
Day Games 2-1
Night Games 19-26

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Nationals Probable Pitcher – Max Scherzer

  • Scherzer (4-3) will take the mound for the Nationals, his 11th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs in seven innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Reds.
  • Among qualified pitchers this season, the 36-year-old’s 2.27 ERA ranks 12th, his .850 WHIP ranks sixth, his 85 strikeouts rank sixth, and his 12.10 K/9 ranks sixth.
  • Scherzer has made 10 starts of five or more innings in 10 chances this season, and averages 6.0 frames when he pitches.
  • His team is 6-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 30, 2021 at 6:35 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Brewers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 27-25
Home 12-14
Road 15-11
vs LHP (Starters) 6-6
vs RHP (Starters) 21-19
Day Games 8-7
Night Games 19-18

Nationals Hitting Stats

  • The Nationals average one home run per game to rank 25th in MLB action with 48 total home runs .
  • The Nationals have a 6-7 record this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • Washington has hit eight home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Trea Turner is batting .307 this season with a team-high 10 home runs and 27 RBI.
  • Josh Harrison has collected 41 hits this season and has an OBP of .368. He’s slugging .432 on the year.

Brewers Hitting Stats

  • The Brewers’ 56 home runs rank 18th in Major League Baseball.
  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 17 games this season and are 13-4 in those matchups.
  • Milwaukee has 11 homers over its last 10 games.
  • Avisail Garcia has a team-high nine home runs and 28 runs batted in.
  • Kolten Wong is hitting .288 with 12 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 11 walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Brewers (+100)

Over/Under Pick: Over (6.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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