Nuggets Vs Trail Blazers: NBA Playoffs Game 5 Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – June 1, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on May 30, 2021

The Denver Nuggets (47-25, 2-2) are 1.5-point favorites heading into Game 5 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Portland Trail Blazers (42-30, 2-2) at Ball Arena on Tuesday, starting at 9:00 PM ET on NBA TV. The series is tied 2-2. The over/under is 226 in the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of May 30, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of May 30

Nuggets:
Will Barton: Day To Day (Hamstring),
Jamal Murray: Out For Season (Knee),
PJ Dozier: Out (Adductor)

Trail Blazers:
Zach Collins: Out For Season (Ankle)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Nuggets (-1.5)
Total Pick Over (226)
Prediction Nuggets 117, Trail Blazers 111

The DraftKings line for this game has the Nuggets favored by 1.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (5.6 points). Put your money on the Nuggets.

In this matchup, the model projects a total (228.1 points) a little higher than the DraftKings over/under (226 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 72 26.4 10.8 8.3 1.3 0.7 1.3
Jamal Murray 48 21.2 4.0 4.8 1.3 0.3 2.7
Michael Porter Jr. 61 19.0 7.3 1.1 0.7 0.9 2.8
Will Barton 56 12.7 4.0 3.2 0.9 0.4 1.8
Aaron Gordon 50 12.4 5.7 3.2 0.7 0.7 1.2

Trail Blazers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Damian Lillard 67 28.8 4.2 7.5 0.9 0.3 4.1
CJ McCollum 47 23.1 3.9 4.7 0.9 0.4 3.6
Norman Powell 69 18.6 3.1 1.9 1.2 0.3 2.5
Carmelo Anthony 69 13.4 3.1 1.5 0.7 0.6 1.9
Jusuf Nurkic 37 11.5 9.0 3.4 1.0 1.1 0.3

Shooting Trends

  • The Nuggets make 48.4% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.2 percentage points higher than the Trail Blazers have allowed to their opponents (47.2%).
  • Denver has a 27-18 record against the spread and a 36-9 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 47.2% from the field.
  • Portland is 30-14 against the spread and 31-13 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 48.4% from the field.
  • The Trail Blazers are shooting 45.4% from the field, 1.5% lower than the 46.9% the Nuggets’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Portland is 23-11 against the spread and 27-7 overall when it shoots higher than 46.9% from the field.
  • This season, Denver has a 23-5 record against the spread and a 25-3 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot over 45.4% from the field.
  • The Nuggets shoot 37.7% from three-point range, 0.4% higher than the 37.3% the Trail Blazers allow to opponents.
  • Denver has put together a 21-18 record against the spread and a 27-12 straight-up record in games this season when the team hits more than 37.3% of its three-point attempts.
  • Portland is 29-10 against the spread and 28-11 overall when its opponents shoot higher than 37.7% from deep.
  • The Trail Blazers’ three-point shooting percentage this season (38.6%) is only two percentage points higher than opponents of the Nuggets are averaging (36.6%).
  • Portland is 30-15 ATS and 34-11 overall when the team hits more than 36.6% of its three-point attempts.
  • Denver has a 25-19 ATS record and a 34-10 straight-up record this season when it hits more than 38.6% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Nuggets’ 12.9 made three-pointers per game this season is 2.8 fewer made shots on average than the 15.7 per game the Trail Blazers allow.
  • Portland has gone 33-22 against the spread and 37-18 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Denver makes fewer three-pointers than its opponents, it is 15-24 ATS and 21-18 straight up.
  • The Nuggets are the 15th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Trail Blazers give up the 19th-fewest makes from deep.

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Stat Rankings

Nuggets Rank Nuggets AVG Trail Blazers AVG Trail Blazers Rank
8th 114.9 Points Scored 116.1 5th
8th 110.4 Points Allowed 114.2 23rd
15th 44.4 Rebounds 44.4 18th
8th 10.6 Off. Rebounds 10.6 3rd
15th 12.9 3pt Made 15.7 2nd
5th 26.7 Assists 21.3 30th
11th 12.7 Turnovers 10.7 1st

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