Brewers Vs Reds: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 23, 2021

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 23, 2021

The Milwaukee Brewers (22-23) are -127 favorites to take Game 3 of their series with the Cincinnati Reds (20-24) on Sunday at 1:10 PM ET. The teams enter the matchup with the series record tied at 1-1, and the underdog Reds are listed with +108 odds to win the rubber match and take the series victory. Freddy Peralta takes the mound for Milwaukee while Luis Castillo is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of May 23, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Brewers vs Reds Betting Lines

Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 29 times this season and won 13, or 44.8%, of those games.
  • Milwaukee has a record of 8-14 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -127 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 53.8% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 7
ERA 4.65
K/9 10.0

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Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been victorous in six, or 40%, of the 15 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Cincinnati has been victorious five times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +108 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 46.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • When it comes to the total, the Reds and their foes are 6-3-1 in their previous 10 contests.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 17
ERA 6.43
K/9 10.5

Reds Probable Pitcher – Luis Castillo

  • Castillo makes the start for the Reds, his 10th of the season. He is 1-6 with a 7.44 ERA and 40 strikeouts in 42 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Tuesday against the Giants, the righty tossed five innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • During nine games this season, the 28-year-old has amassed a 7.44 ERA and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .337 to opposing batters.
  • Castillo is trying to pick up his sixth start of five or more innings this season in this game.
  • The Reds were named the moneyline underdog for three Castillo starts this season — they lost each time.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 23, 2021 at 2:22 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Brewers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 22-23
Home 10-12
Road 12-11
vs LHP (Starters) 2-6
vs RHP (Starters) 20-17
Day Games 6-7
Night Games 16-16

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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Freddy Peralta

  • The Brewers’ Peralta (4-1) will make his ninth start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he allowed two hits in six scoreless innings against the Braves.
  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 2.40, 13.8 strikeouts per nine innings and a batting average against of .136 in nine games this season.
  • Peralta will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • His team has been victorious in 62.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-3.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 23, 2021 at 2:22 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 20-24
Home 11-12
Road 9-12
vs LHP (Starters) 3-3
vs RHP (Starters) 17-21
Day Games 7-8
Night Games 13-16

Brewers Hitting Stats

  • The Brewers average 1.1 home runs per game to rank 19th in MLB action with 48 total home runs .
  • The Brewers average 1.3 home runs per road game this season (29 total away from home).
  • Milwaukee has hit seven home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Avisail Garcia leads Milwaukee in home runs this season with six while driving in 22 runs.
  • Omar Narvaez leads Milwaukee in batting with a .348 average while slugging three homers and driving in 13 runs.

Reds Hitting Stats

  • The Reds rank third in Major League Baseball with 65 home runs.
  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 20 games this season and are 12-8 in those matchups.
  • Cincinnati has 17 homers over its last 10 games.
  • Jesse Winker leads the Reds with 12 home runs while putting up a team-best batting average of .353.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .346 with 11 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 15 walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Brewers (-127)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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