Phillies Vs Red Sox: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 23, 2021

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 23, 2021

The Philadelphia Phillies (22-24) will look to avoid the sweep when they host the Boston Red Sox (29-18) to complete a three-game series. Sportsbooks have listed the Phillies as -121 favorites for the series finale, while the Red Sox are +102 underdogs to complete their sweep. Zack Wheeler starts for Philadelphia while Eduardo Rodriguez is Boston’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of May 23, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Phillies vs Red Sox Betting Lines

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have won nine, or 40.9%, of the 22 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 9-6 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -121 on the moneyline.
  • The Phillies have a 52.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 7
ERA 4.30
K/9 11.0

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Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have won in 12, or 85.7%, of the 14 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Boston has come away with a win nine times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 47.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Red Sox and their opponents are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 19
ERA 3.54
K/9 10.3

Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Eduardo Rodríguez

  • Rodriguez makes the start for the Red Sox, his ninth of the season. He is 5-2 with a 4.70 ERA and 48 strikeouts over 44 innings pitched.
  • His most recent time out was on Tuesday against the Blue Jays, when the lefty went five innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing 11 hits.
  • The 28-year-old has put up a 4.70 ERA and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings during eight games this season, while allowing a batting average of .290 to opposing batters.
  • Rodríguez enters this game with eight outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
  • The Red Sox were the moneyline underdog for two Rodríguez starts this season — they split the games.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 23, 2021 at 2:27 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Phillies Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 22-24
Home 14-10
Road 8-14
vs LHP (Starters) 6-9
vs RHP (Starters) 16-15
Day Games 7-3
Night Games 15-21

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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler

  • Wheeler (3-2) will take to the mound for the Phillies and make his 10th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Thursday, when he threw 2/3 innings while allowing hits to the Marlins.
  • The 30-year-old ranks 15th in ERA (2.52), 18th in WHIP (.990), 10th in strikeouts (66), and 20th in K/9 (9.80) among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.
  • Wheeler has eight starts of five or more innings this season in nine chances. He averages 6.0 innings per outing.
  • His team has a record of 2-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 23, 2021 at 2:27 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Red Sox Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 29-18
Home 13-12
Road 16-6
vs LHP (Starters) 10-5
vs RHP (Starters) 19-13
Day Games 0-2
Night Games 29-16

Phillies Hitting Stats

  • The Phillies are 20th in baseball with 47 total home runs.
  • The Phillies average 1.0 home run per home game this season (24 total at home).
  • Philadelphia has hit seven home runs over the last 10 games.
  • The Phillies are on a four-game losing streak entering this matchup. During that span the team is averaging 1.8 runs per game against the six per game it has allowed.
  • Rhys Hoskins is batting .256 this season with a team-high nine home runs and 25 RBI.
  • Bryce Harper has collected 37 hits this season and has an OBP of .384. He’s slugging .489 on the year.

Red Sox Hitting Stats

  • The Red Sox’s 63 home runs rank fourth in Major League Baseball.
  • They have won 16 of the 17 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Boston has 19 homers over its last 10 games.
  • Xander Bogaerts has racked up a team-best batting average of .345.
  • J.D. Martinez’s 12 home runs lead his team.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (+102)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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