Nationals Vs Orioles: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 23, 2021

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 23, 2021

The Baltimore Orioles (17-28) will try to end their five-game losing streak when they visit the Washington Nationals (19-23) on Sunday at 1:05 PM ET on MASN. Oddsmakers consider the Nationals to be -195 favorites for the contest, while the Orioles are +155 underdogs looking for the upset. Patrick Corbin takes the mound for Washington while Matt Harvey is Baltimore’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of May 23, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Nationals vs Orioles Betting Lines

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals have been favorites in 18 games this season and won 11 (61.1%) of those contests.
  • Washington is undefeated in three games this season when favored by -195 or more on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 62.8% chance to win.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Nationals and their opponents are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games with a total.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 14
ERA 4.50
K/9 9.8

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Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 40 games this year and have walked away with the win 16 times (40%) in those games.
  • Baltimore has a mark of 2-4 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +155 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 37.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Orioles and their foes are 8-2 in their previous 10 contests.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 1-9
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 9
ERA 7.82
K/9 9.9

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Matt Harvey

  • Harvey gets the start for the Orioles, his 10th of the season. He is 3-4 with a 5.93 ERA and 30 strikeouts over 41 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the Rays, when he went 1 2/3 innings, allowing six earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • In nine games this season, the 32-year-old has amassed an ERA of 5.93, with 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .289 against him.
  • Harvey is trying to secure his fifth start of five or more innings this season in this game.
  • The Orioles have a 4-5 record in Harvey’s nine starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 23, 2021 at 2:34 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Nationals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 19-23
Home 11-10
Road 8-13
vs LHP (Starters) 4-6
vs RHP (Starters) 15-17
Day Games 2-1
Night Games 17-22

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Nationals Probable Pitcher – Patrick Corbin

  • Corbin (2-3) will take to the mound for the Nationals and make his ninth start of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed eight hits in five innings against the Cubs.
  • The 31-year-old has pitched to a 6.10 ERA this season with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.3 walks per nine across eight games.
  • Corbin has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • His team has a record of 1-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 23, 2021 at 2:34 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Orioles Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 17-28
Home 6-18
Road 11-10
vs LHP (Starters) 7-11
vs RHP (Starters) 10-17
Day Games 1-2
Night Games 16-26

Nationals Hitting Stats

  • The Nationals average 1.1 home runs per game to rank 22nd in MLB play with 45 total home runs .
  • The Nationals are 6-7 this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Washington has hit 14 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Trea Turner leads Washington in home runs with 10 and runs batted in with 24.
  • Josh Harrison has collected 37 hits this season and has an OBP of .377. He’s slugging .447 on the year.

Orioles Hitting Stats

  • The Orioles’ 46 home runs rank 21st in Major League Baseball.
  • They are 9-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Baltimore has hit nine home runs over the last 10 games.
  • During the Orioles’ five-game losing streak, they are slashing .225/.325/.414 and have scored 25 runs.
  • Trey Mancini paces the Orioles in home runs (10) and runs batted in (39).
  • Cedric Mullins is batting .295 to lead his team.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Orioles (+155)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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