Red Sox Vs Phillies: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 22, 2021

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 22, 2021

The Philadelphia Phillies (22-23) will try to end their three-game losing home streak when they host the Boston Red Sox (28-18) on Saturday at 7:15 PM ET on FOX. Bookmakers consider the Red Sox to be -134 favorites for the contest, while the Phillies are +115 underdogs looking for the upset. Nathan Eovaldi starts for Boston while Philadelphia will counter with Spencer Howard.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of May 22, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Red Sox vs Phillies Betting Lines

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have been favorites in 32 games this season and won 16 (50%) of those contests.
  • Boston has a record of 10-10, a 50% win rate, when favored by -134 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 18
ERA 3.54
K/9 9.8

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been victorous in 13, or 56.5%, of the 23 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Philadelphia has been victorious five times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 44.8% chance of pulling out a win.
  • In their previous 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, the Phillies and their opponents are 3-7 when it comes to hitting the over.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 7
ERA 4.09
K/9 10.7

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Spencer Howard

  • Howard will start for the Phillies, his first this season.
  • The 24-year-old righty has three appearances out of the bullpen this season.
  • The Red Sox have scored 243 runs this season (first in MLB) and are batting .267 collectively with 61 home runs (fifth in the league).
  • Howard and his team dropped both games he pitched when they were the moneyline underdog a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 22, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Red Sox Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 28-18
Home 13-12
Road 15-6
vs LHP (Starters) 10-5
vs RHP (Starters) 18-13
Day Games 0-2
Night Games 28-16

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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Nathan Eovaldi

  • The Red Sox will send Eovaldi (4-2) to the mound for his 10th start this season.
  • The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed six hits in five innings pitched against the Angels on Sunday.
  • Among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign, the 31-year-old falls outside of league leaders in ERA and strikeouts.
  • Eovaldi will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • His team has a record of 3-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 22, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Phillies Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 22-23
Home 14-9
Road 8-14
vs LHP (Starters) 6-9
vs RHP (Starters) 16-14
Day Games 7-3
Night Games 15-20

Red Sox Hitting Stats

  • The Red Sox average 1.3 home runs per game to rank fifth in baseball with 61 total home runs.
  • The Red Sox have a 15-1 record in games this season when they hit at least two homers.
  • Boston has collected 18 home runs during the last 10 games.
  • J.D. Martinez is batting .335 this season with a team-high 12 home runs and 37 RBI.
  • Xander Bogaerts’ batting average of .345 leads all Boston hitters this season.

Phillies Hitting Stats

  • The Phillies have hit 46 homers this season, which ranks 19th in the league.
  • In 23 games at home this season, they’ve hit 23 homers, an average of 1 per contest.
  • Philadelphia has hit seven home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Bryce Harper is hitting .285 with eight doubles, seven home runs and 22 walks.
  • Rhys Hoskins has shown his power as he leads his team with eight home runs.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Red Sox (-134)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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