Reds Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 12, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on May 12, 2021

The Cincinnati Reds (16-17) are -159 favorites to take Game 3 of their series with the Pittsburgh Pirates (15-20) on Wednesday at 12:35 PM ET. The teams enter the matchup with the series record tied at 1-1, and the underdog Pirates are listed with +135 odds to win the rubber match and take the series victory. Sonny Gray starts for Cincinnati while Pittsburgh will counter with Trevor Cahill.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of May 12, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Reds vs Pirates Betting Lines

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been favorites in 21 games this season and won 12 (57.1%) of those contests.
  • Cincinnati has entered seven games this season favored by -159 or more and is 5-2 in those contests.
  • The Reds have a 59.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Reds and their opponents are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games with a total.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 12
ERA 5.26
K/9 9.7

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been underdogs in 32 games this season and have come away with the win 13 times (40.6%) in those contests.
  • Pittsburgh has a mark of 8-10 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +135 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 40.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • When it comes to the total, the Pirates and their opponents are 4-6 in their last 10 games.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.7
HR 4
ERA 4.60
K/9 6.9

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Trevor Cahill

  • Cahill gets the start for the Pirates, his seventh of the season. He is 1-4 with a 6.75 ERA and 26 strikeouts in 29 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Friday, the right-hander threw five innings against the Cubs, allowing two earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
  • The 33-year-old has an ERA of 6.75, with 8 strikeouts per nine innings in six games this season. Opposing hitters have a .311 batting average against him.
  • Cahill will look to extend a four-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.1 frames per outing).
  • The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline in six of Cahill’s starts this season, and they went 1-5 in those matchups.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 12, 2021 at 2:11 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 16-17
Home 10-7
Road 6-10
vs LHP (Starters) 3-2
vs RHP (Starters) 13-15
Day Games 5-6
Night Games 11-11

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Reds Probable Pitcher – Sonny Gray

  • The Reds will hand the ball to Gray (0-2) for his fifth start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he allowed two hits in seven scoreless innings against the White Sox.
  • The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.92, 13.5 strikeouts per nine innings and a batting average against of .228 in four games this season.
  • Gray will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • His team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 12, 2021 at 2:11 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 15-20
Home 6-8
Road 9-12
vs LHP (Starters) 1-4
vs RHP (Starters) 14-16
Day Games 4-4
Night Games 11-16

Reds Hitting Stats

  • The Reds rank fourth-best in MLB play with 47 total home runs.
  • The Reds have a 10-3 record this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
  • Cincinnati has hit 12 home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Jesse Winker leads Cincinnati with a batting average of .374. He’s also hit seven home runs with 19 RBI.
  • Nicholas Castellanos’ nine home runs are most among Cincinnati batters. He’s driven in 22 runs this season while slugging .607.

Pirates Hitting Stats

  • The Pirates have hit just 24 homers this season, which ranks 29th in the league.
  • They have averaged 0.5 home runs per game in their 14 home contests this season.
  • Pittsburgh has just four homers over its last 10 games.
  • Bryan Reynolds has driven in a team-best 14 runs batted in.
  • Adam Frazier has a club-high .312 batting average.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Reds (-159)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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