Diamondbacks Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 11, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on May 11, 2021

The Arizona Diamondbacks (16-19) are favored on the moneyline (-112) in Tuesday’s contest with the Miami Marlins (15-19), which starts at 9:40 PM ET on BSAZ. However, the Marlins are favored against the spread (1.5) with +170 odds. Madison Bumgarner gets the starting nod for Arizona while Pablo Lopez is Miami’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of May 11, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Betting Lines

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • This season, the Diamondbacks have won four out of the six games in which they’ve been favored.
  • Arizona has a record of 4-2 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -112 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 50.7% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Diamondbacks and their opponents are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games with a total.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 6
ERA 4.85
K/9 9

Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have come away with seven wins in the 19 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Miami has won seven of 19 games when listed as at least -106 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 49.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to clear the total four times.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 11
ERA 2.45
K/9 9.2

Marlins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez

  • Lopez (0-2 with a 2.04 ERA and 40 strikeouts in 39 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Marlins, his eighth of the season.
  • In his most recent outing on Thursday against the Diamondbacks, the righty went five innings, allowing no earned runs while surrendering three hits.
  • The 25-year-old’s ERA ranks ninth in ERA among qualifying pitchers this season.
  • Lopez will try to extend a four-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing).
  • The Marlins have a 2-1 record in Lopez’s three starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 11, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Diamondbacks Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 16-18
Home 7-4
Road 9-14
vs LHP (Starters) 2-5
vs RHP (Starters) 14-13
Day Games 2-2
Night Games 14-16

Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Madison Bumgarner

  • Bumgarner (3-2) will take to the mound for the Diamondbacks and make his eighth start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on two hits in a matchup with the Marlins.
  • Among qualified major league pitchers this season, the 31-year-old’s K/9 ranks 18th in K/9.
  • Bumgarner has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • His team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 11, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Marlins Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 15-19
Home 8-9
Road 7-10
vs LHP (Starters) 5-6
vs RHP (Starters) 10-13
Day Games 2-3
Night Games 13-16

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats

  • The Diamondbacks rank 12th in baseball with 41 home runs. They average 1.2 per game.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit 13 home runs at home this season (1.1 per game).
  • Arizona has six home runs over the last 10 games.
  • David Peralta is batting .270 for Arizona with a team-high 24 RBI.
  • Carson Kelly’s batting average of .324 leads all Arizona hitters this season.

Marlins Hitting Stats

  • The Marlins have hit 32 homers this season, which ranks 25th in the league.
  • They have averaged 1.2 home runs per game in their 17 road contests this season.
  • Miami has 11 homers over its last 10 games.
  • Miguel Rojas is batting .283 with nine doubles, two triples, two home runs and 13 walks.
  • Jesus Aguilar has shown off his power as he paces his team with seven home runs and 27 RBI.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-106)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy