Mets Vs Orioles: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 11, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on May 11, 2021

The New York Mets (16-13) will vie for their sixth straight victory when they host the Baltimore Orioles (16-19) on Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET on SNY. The Mets are listed as -148 favorites by oddsmakers, while the Orioles are +125 underdogs. Marcus Stroman gets the starting nod for New York while John Means is Baltimore’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of May 11, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Mets vs Orioles Betting Lines

Mets Betting Insights

  • This season, the Mets have been favored 20 times and won 11, or 55%, of those games.
  • This season, New York has won six of its 13 games, or 46.2%, when favored by at least -148 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 57.3%.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 7
ERA 2.89
K/9 9.0

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Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have been victorous in 15, or 48.4%, of the 31 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Baltimore has a mark of 7-10 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +125 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 42.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • In their previous 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, the Orioles and their opponents are 3-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 14
ERA 3.89
K/9 8.6

Orioles Probable Pitcher – John Means

  • Means makes the start for the Orioles, his eighth of the season. He is 4-0 with a 1.37 ERA and 50 strikeouts over 46 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Wednesday, the left-hander tossed nine scoreless innings against the Mariners without surrendering a hit.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 28-year-old’s 1.37 ERA ranks third, his .670 WHIP ranks second, his 50 strikeouts rank 11th, and his 9.80 K/9 ranks 18th.
  • Means will aim to last five or more innings for his sixth straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.0 innings per outing.
  • The Orioles have played as the moneyline underdog for five of Means’ starts this season, and they won every game.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 11, 2021 at 2:13 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Mets Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 16-13
Home 9-4
Road 7-9
vs LHP (Starters) 1-3
vs RHP (Starters) 15-10
Day Games 5-3
Night Games 11-10

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Marcus Stroman

  • The Mets will send Stroman (3-3) to the mound for his seventh start this season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs in five innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Cardinals.
  • The 30-year-old ranks 10th in ERA among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.
  • Stroman has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • His team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-2).
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 11, 2021 at 2:13 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Orioles Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 16-19
Home 5-13
Road 11-6
vs LHP (Starters) 6-8
vs RHP (Starters) 10-11
Day Games 1-1
Night Games 15-18

Mets Hitting Stats

  • The Mets are last in MLB play with 22 home runs.
  • The Mets average 0.8 homers per game when playing at home this season (10 total in home contests).
  • New York has hit seven home runs during the last 10 games.
  • The Mets have won five straight games entering this matchup. Over that streak the team is averaging 4.8 runs per game while giving up 2.2 runs per outing.
  • Pete Alonso is batting .255 this season with a team-high five home runs and 17 RBI.
  • Michael Conforto has 23 hits and an OBP of .373 to go with a slugging percentage of .361 this season.

Orioles Hitting Stats

  • The Orioles’ 37 home runs rank 20th in Major League Baseball.
  • They are 9-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Baltimore has hit 14 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Cedric Mullins has put up a team-best batting average of .312.
  • Trey Mancini has hit seven home runs with 29 RBI. Both are team-highs.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Mets (-148)

Over/Under Pick: Over (6.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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