Nationals Vs Phillies: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 11, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on May 11, 2021

Coming off of a 1-2 series loss to the Yankees, the Washington Nationals (13-17) are -121 favorites to pick up the win in Game 1 of a three-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies (18-17). The series begins at Nationals Park, starting on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET on MASN. Erick Fedde starts for Washington while Chase Anderson is Philadelphia’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of May 11, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Nationals vs Phillies Betting Lines

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals have entered the game as favorites 10 times this season and won six of those games.
  • Washington has a record of 5-4 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -121 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.8% chance of a victory for the Nationals.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Nationals and their opponents are 3-7 in their last 10 games with a total.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 12
ERA 2.76
K/9 8.2

Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been underdogs in 20 games this season and have come away with the win 11 times (55%) in those contests.
  • Philadelphia has a mark of 6-7 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +104 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 47.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on six occasions.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 13
ERA 3.96
K/9 9.2

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Chase Anderson

  • Anderson gets the start for the Phillies, his seventh of the season. He is 1-3 with a 5.54 ERA and 21 strikeouts in 26 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Wednesday, the right-hander went 4 1/3 innings against the Brewers, giving up three earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • During six games this season, the 33-year-old has a 5.54 ERA and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .250 to opposing hitters.
  • Anderson has pitched five or more innings in a game two times this season entering this game.
  • The Phillies have a 2-3 record in Anderson’s five starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 11, 2021 at 2:14 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Nationals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 13-17
Home 8-8
Road 5-9
vs LHP (Starters) 3-6
vs RHP (Starters) 10-11
Day Games 2-1
Night Games 11-16

Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Nationals Probable Pitcher – Erick Fedde

  • The Nationals’ Fedde (2-3) will make his seventh start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed five innings while giving up five earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Braves.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched in six games this season with a 5.27 ERA, 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings and a batting average against of .235.
  • Fedde has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • His team won his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 11, 2021 at 2:14 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Phillies Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 18-17
Home 13-6
Road 5-11
vs LHP (Starters) 4-4
vs RHP (Starters) 14-13
Day Games 7-3
Night Games 11-14

Nationals Hitting Stats

  • The Nationals have hit 30 home runs this season, the fourth-lowest total in MLB play.
  • The Nationals average 0.9 homers per home game this season (15 total at home).
  • Washington has 12 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Trea Turner leads Washington in home runs with seven and runs batted in with 14.
  • Josh Harrison has collected 25 hits this season and has an OBP of .378. He’s slugging .442 on the year.

Phillies Hitting Stats

  • The Phillies have hit 39 homers this season, which ranks 18th in the league.
  • They’ve hit 18 homers, an average of 1.1 per game, in 16 road contests this season.
  • Over the last 10 games, Philadelphia has hit 13 home runs.
  • J.T. Realmuto is hitting .313 with six doubles, a triple, four home runs and 13 walks.
  • Rhys Hoskins has shown off his power as he paces his team with eight home runs.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Phillies (+104)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy