Nuggets Vs Hornets: NBA Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – May 11, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on May 11, 2021

Terry Rozier leads the Charlotte Hornets (33-35) into a matchup against the Denver Nuggets (44-24) after putting up 43 points in a 112-110 loss to the Pelicans. The Hornets are 5.5-point underdogs in the game on Tuesday, May 11, 2021, which starts at 7:00 PM ET on ALT. The point total for the matchup is set at 217.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of May 11, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Nuggets vs Hornets Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of May 11

Nuggets:
Aaron Gordon: Day To Day (Calf),
Monte Morris: Day To Day (Hamstring),
Will Barton: Out (Hamstring),
Zeke Nnaji: Day To Day (Ankle),
Jamal Murray: Out For Season (Knee),
PJ Dozier: Day To Day (Adductor)

Hornets:
Gordon Hayward: Out (Foot),
Cody Martin: Out (Ankle),
Devonte’ Graham: Day To Day (Knee),
Miles Bridges: Out (Health and Safety Protocols)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Hornets (+5.5)
Total Pick Over (217.5)
Prediction Nuggets 114, Hornets 110

The model favors the Nuggets by 4.1 points, just 1.4 fewer than the 5.5-point spread set by FanDuel.

In this game, the model projects a total (223.1 points) a little higher than the FanDuel over/under (217.5 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 68 26.4 10.8 8.5 1.4 0.7 1.4
Jamal Murray 48 21.2 4.0 4.8 1.3 0.3 2.7
Michael Porter Jr. 58 19.2 7.4 1.1 0.6 0.9 2.8
Will Barton 56 12.7 4.0 3.2 0.9 0.4 1.8
Aaron Gordon 47 12.4 5.8 3.3 0.6 0.7 1.2

Nuggets Player Props

  • Nikola Jokic’s assists prop total for the matchup is listed at 7.5 assists, 1.0 assist less than his season average of 8.5.
  • Michael Porter Jr.’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 4.5, 1.7 shots higher than his season average of 2.8.
  • Jokic’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.1 steals greater than his season average of 1.4.

Hornets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Terry Rozier 65 20.6 4.3 4.2 1.2 0.4 3.3
Gordon Hayward 44 19.6 5.9 4.1 1.2 0.3 1.9
LaMelo Ball 47 16.0 5.8 6.2 1.6 0.4 1.9
Devonte’ Graham 51 14.5 2.7 5.4 0.9 0.1 3.2
P.J. Washington 60 13.2 6.4 2.5 1.0 1.3 1.8

Hornets Player Props

  • Rozier’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 30.5, 1.4 greater than his season average of 29.1.
  • LaMelo Ball’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 32.5, 4.5 higher than his season average of 28.0.
  • Rozier’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 2.5, 0.8 shots lower than his season average of 3.3.
  • Ball’s steals prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.1 steals lower than his season average of 1.6.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Nuggets have a 48.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.9% higher than the 46.6% of shots the Hornets’ opponents have knocked down.
  • In games Denver shoots higher than 46.6% from the field, it is 24-17 against the spread and 32-9 overall.
  • Charlotte has a 27-15 record against the spread and a 27-16 record overall when allowing its opponents to make more than 48.5% of their shots from the field.
  • The Hornets are shooting 45.8% from the field, 1.2% lower than the 47% the Nuggets’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Charlotte is 23-8 against the spread and 22-9 overall when it shoots better than 47% from the field.
  • When Denver’s opponents shoot higher than 45.8% from the field, it is 21-5 against the spread and 23-3 overall.
  • The Nuggets shoot 37.8% from beyond the arc, 1.4% higher than the 36.4% the Hornets allow to opponents.
  • Denver has a 22-18 record against the spread and a 28-12 record overall when the team hits more than 36.4% of its three-point attempts.
  • Charlotte is 24-17 against the spread while putting up a 26-16 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 37.8% from three-point range.
  • The Hornets are making 37.5% of their shots from beyond the arc, which is only 0.9 percentage points greater than the 36.6% the Nuggets’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Charlotte is 24-11-1 against the spread and 23-14 overall when shooting above 36.6% as a team from three-point range.
  • Denver is 21-16 ATS and 29-8 overall in games it shoots above 37.5% from deep.
  • The Nuggets’ 12.9 made three-pointers per game this season are only 0.9 fewer made shots on average than the 13.8 per game the Hornets allow.
  • When Charlotte makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 23-10-1 against the spread and 23-12 overall. When Denver is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 13-22 ATS and 19-16 straight up.
  • The Nuggets make the 14th-most three-pointers in the league, while the Hornets give up the 28th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Nuggets vs Hornets Stat Rankings

Nuggets Rank Nuggets AVG Hornets AVG Hornets Rank
6th 115.2 Points Scored 109.7 22nd
9th 110.2 Points Allowed 111.1 11th
14th 44.5 Rebounds 43.7 16th
6th 10.5 Off. Rebounds 10.5 8th
14th 12.9 3pt Made 13.8 8th
3rd 26.9 Assists 26.9 6th
11th 12.9 Turnovers 14.3 25th

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