Phillies Vs Brewers: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 4, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on May 4, 2021

The Philadelphia Phillies (14-15) are set to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (17-12) on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET, airing on NBCS-PH. The Phillies are listed as -152 favorites by bookmakers, while the underdog Brewers have +130 odds. Aaron Nola starts for Philadelphia while Milwaukee will counter with Eric Lauer.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of May 4, 2021, 2:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Phillies vs Brewers Betting Lines

Phillies Betting Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have been favored 13 times and won six, or 46.2%, of those games.
  • Philadelphia has been at least a -152 moneyline favorite three times this season and won each of those games.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 58.1% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 11
ERA 4.69
K/9 9.2

Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have come away with seven wins in the 11 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Milwaukee has a win-loss record of 3-2 when favored by +130 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 41.9% chance of pulling out a win.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Brewers and their opponents have combined to clear the total five times.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 11
ERA 4.15
K/9 9.9

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Eric Lauer

  • The Brewers will look to Lauer (1-0) to open the game and make his second start of the season.
  • The lefty last appeared on Thursday against the Dodgers, when he went five scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
  • The Brewers were the moneyline underdog for one Lauer start this season — they won.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 4, 2021 at 2:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Phillies Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 14-15
Home 10-6
Road 4-9
vs LHP (Starters) 3-4
vs RHP (Starters) 11-11
Day Games 6-3
Night Games 8-12

Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola

  • Nola (2-1) will take to the mound for the Phillies and make his seventh start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw six innings against the Cardinals, giving up three earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • The 27-year-old ranks 15th in WHIP (.930), and 19th in strikeouts (39) among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.
  • Nola has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • His team is 4-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 4, 2021 at 2:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Brewers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 17-12
Home 8-8
Road 9-4
vs LHP (Starters) 1-2
vs RHP (Starters) 16-10
Day Games 4-5
Night Games 13-7

Phillies Hitting Stats

  • The Phillies rank 19th-best in baseball with 30 total home runs.
  • The Phillies are 5-4 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • Philadelphia has 11 home runs during the last 10 games.
  • Bryce Harper has been key for Philadelphia with six home runs, 10 RBI and a batting average of .317 this season.
  • Rhys Hoskins is slugging .527 this season, with a team-best eight homers while driving in 16 runs.

Brewers Hitting Stats

  • The Brewers have hit 36 homers this season, which ranks 10th in the league.
  • They have averaged 1.6 home runs per game in their 13 road contests this season.
  • Over the last 10 games, Milwaukee has hit 11 home runs.
  • Luis Urias has five doubles, three home runs and 12 walks while hitting .233.
  • Avisail Garcia is hitting .223 with two doubles, three home runs and 10 walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Phillies (-152)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy