Mariners Vs Orioles: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 4, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on May 4, 2021

Seeking their 17th win, the Seattle Mariners (16-14) are favorites (-134) on the moneyline when they take on the Baltimore Orioles (14-15) on Tuesday at 10:10 PM ET, live on SportsNet NW. Seattle’s Justin Dunn and Baltimore’s Jorge Lopez have been named the starters for this contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of May 4, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Mariners vs Orioles Betting Lines

Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have entered the game as favorites four times this season and won twice.
  • Seattle has not been a bigger favorite this season than the -134 moneyline set for this game.
  • The Mariners have a 55.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mariners and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 12
ERA 3.87
K/9 6.1

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Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have been victorous in 13, or 52%, of the 25 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Baltimore has come away with a win nine times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • When it comes to the total, the Orioles and their foes are 3-6-1 in their last 10 contests.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4
HR 12
ERA 4.00
K/9 8

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Jorge López

  • Lopez (1-3 with a 7.48 ERA and 21 strikeouts in 21 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Orioles, his sixth of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Thursday, the right-hander went four innings against the Yankees, allowing two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • During five games this season, the 28-year-old has a 7.48 ERA and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .256 to opposing hitters.
  • Lopez will look to collect his second matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 4.1 innings per appearance.
  • The Orioles are 2-3 in Lopez’s five starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 4, 2021 at 2:06 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Mariners Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 16-14
Home 8-7
Road 8-7
vs LHP (Starters) 4-4
vs RHP (Starters) 12-10
Day Games 5-2
Night Games 11-12

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Justin Dunn

  • Dunn (1-0) will take to the mound for the Mariners and make his fifth start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Astros, giving up three earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • The 25-year-old has pitched in four games this season with an ERA of 3.98, a 1.2 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.280.
  • Dunn will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • He has yet to start a game this season when his team was the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 4, 2021 at 2:06 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Orioles Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 14-15
Home 4-10
Road 10-5
vs LHP (Starters) 4-7
vs RHP (Starters) 10-8
Day Games 0-1
Night Games 14-14

Mariners Hitting Stats

  • The Mariners average 1.1 home runs per game to rank 16th in MLB play with 33 total home runs .
  • The Mariners are 7-4 this season in games when they send out two or more home runs.
  • Seattle has hit 12 home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Mitch Haniger is batting .268 with eight home runs and 23 RBI. All three of those stats are best among Seattle hitters this season.
  • Ty France has 28 hits and an OBP of .362 to go with a slugging percentage of .417 this season.

Orioles Hitting Stats

  • The Orioles rank 22nd in Major League Baseball with 29 home runs.
  • In 15 games on the road this season, they’ve hit 14 homers, an average of 0.9 per contest.
  • Baltimore has hit 12 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Cedric Mullins leads the Orioles with five home runs while accumulating a team-high batting average of .333.
  • Trey Mancini has hit five home runs with 21 runs batted in. Both are team-highs.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Mariners (-134)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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