Mets Vs Cardinals: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 4, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on May 4, 2021

A pair of surging power hitters meet on Tuesday when Kevin Pillar (on a two-game homer streak) and the New York Mets (11-12) take on Harrison Bader (home runs in two straight) and the St. Louis Cardinals (17-12). The Mets are favorites (-200) for the contest, which starts at 7:45 PM ET, live from Busch Stadium and broadcast on BSMW. Jacob deGrom starts for New York while Johan Oviedo is St. Louis’ starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of May 4, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Mets vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Mets Betting Insights

  • This season, the Mets have been favored 16 times and won seven, or 43.8%, of those games.
  • New York has a record of 1-4 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -200 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 64.3%.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 9
ERA 2.85
K/9 10.8

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Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have come away with six wins in the 11 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given St. Louis this season with a +170 moneyline set for this game.
  • The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 35.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Cardinals and their foes are 4-5-1 in their previous 10 contests.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 12
ERA 2.57
K/9 7.7

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Johan Oviedo

  • Oviedo (0-0) pitches first for the Cardinals to make his second start of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Wednesday, the righty tossed five innings against the Phillies, allowing three earned runs while surrendering three hits.
  • The Cardinals have always been the moneyline underdog when Oviedo starts this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 4, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Mets Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 11-12
Home 6-4
Road 5-8
vs LHP (Starters) 1-2
vs RHP (Starters) 10-10
Day Games 3-3
Night Games 8-9

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Jacob deGrom

  • The Mets’ deGrom (2-2) will make his sixth start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in six innings pitched against the Red Sox on Wednesday.
  • Among qualified pitchers this season, the 32-year-old’s .51 ERA ranks first, his .570 WHIP ranks second, his 59 strikeouts rank fourth, and his 15.20 K/9 ranks first.
  • deGrom has started five games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings five times. He averages 7.1 innings per appearance.
  • His team is 2-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 4, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cardinals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 17-12
Home 8-6
Road 9-6
vs LHP (Starters) 4-2
vs RHP (Starters) 13-10
Day Games 7-6
Night Games 10-6

Mets Hitting Stats

  • The Mets have hit 18 home runs this season, the lowest total in baseball.
  • The Mets are 2-1 this season in games when they send out at least two home runs.
  • New York has hit nine home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs with five and runs batted in with 16.
  • Michael Conforto has 19 hits and an OBP of .359 to go with a slugging percentage of .397 this season.

Cardinals Hitting Stats

  • The Cardinals rank sixth in Major League Baseball with 38 home runs.
  • They have averaged 1 home runs per game in their 14 home contests this season.
  • St. Louis has hit 12 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • During the Cardinals’ five-game winning streak, they are slashing .247/.310/.482 and have scored 32 runs.
  • Nolan Arenado has put up a team-high 21 runs batted in.
  • Dylan Carlson is hitting .267 with seven doubles, two triples, three home runs and 10 walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (+170)

Over/Under Pick: Over (6.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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