Yankees Vs Astros: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 4, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on May 4, 2021

Coming off of a 3-0 series win over the Tigers, the New York Yankees (14-14) are -120 favorites to pick up the win in Game 1 of a three-game series against the Houston Astros (15-13). The series begins at Yankee Stadium, starting on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET on ESPN. New York’s Domingo German gets the start, and he’ll go against Houston’s Zack Greinke.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of May 4, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Yankees vs Astros Betting Lines

Yankees Betting Insights

  • This season, the Yankees have been favored 26 times and won 13, or 50%, of those games.
  • New York has entered 24 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 12-12 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.4% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Yankees and their opponents are 3-7 in their last 10 games with a total.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 19
ERA 2.33
K/9 10.4

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Astros Betting Insights

  • The Astros have been chosen as underdogs in six games this year and have walked away with the win four times (66.7%) in those games.
  • This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given Houston this season with a +102 moneyline set for this game.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 47.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Astros and their foes are 5-5 in their last 10 contests.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 7
ERA 2.30
K/9 8.7

Astros Probable Pitcher – Zack Greinke

  • Greinke gets the start for the Astros, his seventh of the season. He is 2-1 with a 3.44 ERA and 27 strikeouts in 36 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last time out was on Thursday against the Mariners, when the righty tossed four innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 37-year-old does not rank in the top 20 in K/9 and ERA.
  • Greinke has put up four starts this year that he pitched five or more innings.
  • The Astros were named the moneyline underdog for two Greinke starts this season — they won both.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 4, 2021 at 2:09 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Yankees Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 14-14
Home 7-7
Road 7-7
vs LHP (Starters) 4-4
vs RHP (Starters) 10-10
Day Games 0-2
Night Games 14-12

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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Domingo Germán

  • The Yankees will send German (2-2) to the mound for his fifth start this season.
  • The right-hander did not allow a run in seven innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Orioles.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched in four games this season with a 4.05 ERA, 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings and a batting average against of .262.
  • Germán has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • His team has won 33.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (1-2).
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 4, 2021 at 2:09 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Astros Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 15-13
Home 7-7
Road 8-6
vs LHP (Starters) 9-8
vs RHP (Starters) 6-5
Day Games 0-2
Night Games 15-11

Yankees Hitting Stats

  • The Yankees average 1.3 home runs per game to rank eighth in MLB action with 37 total home runs.
  • The Yankees average 1.1 homers per home game this season (15 total at home).
  • New York has hit 19 home runs during the past 10 games.
  • Aaron Judge is batting .281 this season with a team-high seven home runs and 18 RBI.
  • Gio Urshela has collected 25 hits this season and has an OBP of .316. He’s slugging .451 on the year.

Astros Hitting Stats

  • The Astros’ 27 home runs rank 25th in Major League Baseball.
  • In 14 games on the road this season, they’ve hit 15 homers, an average of 1.1 per contest.
  • Houston has seven homers over its last 10 games.
  • Yuli Gurriel paces the Astros with 18 runs batted in.
  • Yordan Alvarez has eight doubles, a triple, three home runs and three walks while hitting .313.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Yankees (-120)

Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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