Twins Vs Rangers: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 3, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on May 3, 2021

A pair of surging power hitters meet on Monday when Alex Kirilloff (on a three-game homer streak) and the Minnesota Twins (10-16) take on Isiah Kiner-Falefa (home runs in two straight) and the Texas Rangers (13-16). The Twins are favorites (-190) for the contest, which starts at 7:40 PM ET, live from Target Field and broadcast on MLB Network. Minnesota’s Kenta Maeda and Texas’ Dane Dunning have been named the starters for this contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of May 3, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Twins vs Rangers Betting Lines

Twins Betting Insights

  • This season, the Twins have won eight out of the 20 games, or 40%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Minnesota is 2-4 this season when entering a game favored by -190 or more on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 63% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Twins and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 6
HR 22
ERA 4.82
K/9 7.2

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Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have won in 13, or 48.1%, of the 27 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Texas has a mark of 3-2 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +160 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 37% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Rangers and their opponents have combined to clear the total four times.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 14
ERA 5.03
K/9 7.1

Rangers Probable Pitcher – Dane Dunning

  • The Rangers are sending Dunning (1-1) out for his sixth start of the season. He is 1-1 with a 3.97 ERA and 24 strikeouts over 22 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Thursday, the righty went five innings against the Angels, allowing four earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • In five games this season, the 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.97, with 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .264 against him.
  • Dunning has put up three starts this year that he pitched five or more innings.
  • The Rangers are 1-3 in Dunning’s four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 3, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Twins Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 10-16
Home 5-8
Road 5-8
vs LHP (Starters) 3-7
vs RHP (Starters) 7-9
Day Games 4-6
Night Games 6-10

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Twins Probable Pitcher – Kenta Maeda

  • Maeda (1-2) will take the mound for the Twins, his sixth start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed eight hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the Indians on Tuesday.
  • The 33-year-old has pitched to a 6.56 ERA this season with 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.9 walks per nine across five games.
  • Maeda has two starts of five or more innings this season in five chances. He averages 4.1 innings per outing.
  • His team has a record of 1-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 3, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Rangers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 13-16
Home 7-9
Road 6-7
vs LHP (Starters) 9-4
vs RHP (Starters) 4-12
Day Games 3-2
Night Games 10-14

Twins Hitting Stats

  • The Twins are ninth-best in MLB play with 36 total home runs.
  • The Twins average 1.2 homers per game when playing at home this season (16 total in home outings).
  • Minnesota has 22 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Byron Buxton is batting .408 this season with eight home runs, both tops among Minnesota hitters.
  • Nelson Cruz is batting .321 this season with a team-high eight home runs and 21 RBI.

Rangers Hitting Stats

  • The Rangers rank 13th in Major League Baseball with 34 home runs.
  • They are 7-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Texas has hit 14 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Nick Solak paces the Rangers with seven home runs.
  • Nate Lowe has capitalized on opportunities as he paces his team with 24 runs batted in.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (+160)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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