Twins Vs Royals: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 1, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on May 1, 2021

The Minnesota Twins (9-15) and Alex Kirilloff (2 HR in his last game) are favored (-124) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Kansas City Royals (15-9) on Saturday at 2:10 PM ET on BSN. Matt Shoemaker gets the starting nod for Minnesota while Danny Duffy is Kansas City’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of May 1, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Twins vs Royals Betting Lines

Twins Betting Insights

  • This season, the Twins have been favored 18 times and won seven, or 38.9%, of those games.
  • Minnesota has a record of 6-9 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -124 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 53.2%.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Twins and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 17
ERA 4.52
K/9 7.1

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Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 12 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (50%) in those games.
  • This year, Kansas City has won three of six games when listed as at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 46.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • In their last 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, the Royals and their foes are 4-6 when it comes to hitting the over.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 9
ERA 4.50
K/9 9.6

Royals Probable Pitcher – Danny Duffy

  • Duffy gets the start for the Royals, his fifth of the season. He is 3-1 with a .39 ERA and 27 strikeouts over 23 innings pitched.
  • The lefty’s last time out came on Sunday against the Tigers, when he tossed five scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
  • Over four games this season, the 32-year-old has a .39 ERA and 10.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .212 to his opponents.
  • Duffy heads into the matchup with four outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • The Royals were named the moneyline underdog for two Duffy starts this season — they won both.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 1, 2021 at 2:12 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Twins Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 9-15
Home 4-7
Road 5-8
vs LHP (Starters) 3-6
vs RHP (Starters) 6-9
Day Games 3-5
Night Games 6-10

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Twins Probable Pitcher – Matt Shoemaker

  • The Twins will hand the ball to Shoemaker (1-2) for his fifth start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in 5 1/3 innings pitched against the Pirates on Sunday.
  • The 34-year-old has pitched to a 5.49 ERA this season with 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.7 walks per nine across four games.
  • His team has been victorious in 25% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 1-3.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 1, 2021 at 2:12 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Royals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 15-9
Home 8-5
Road 7-4
vs LHP (Starters) 5-4
vs RHP (Starters) 10-5
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 15-9

Twins Hitting Stats

  • The Twins rank 11th-best in baseball with 31 total home runs.
  • The Twins have hit 11 homers at home this season (one per game).
  • Minnesota has 17 home runs during the last 10 games.
  • Byron Buxton is batting .426 this season with eight home runs, both lead Minnesota hitters.
  • Nelson Cruz leads Minnesota in runs batted in with 19 while batting .329 with seven homers.

Royals Hitting Stats

  • The Royals’ 22 home runs rank 26th in MLB this season.
  • They’ve won all five of their games in which they’ve hit two or more home runs this season.
  • Over the last 10 games, Kansas City has hit nine home runs.
  • Carlos Santana leads the Royals in home runs (six) and runs batted in (20).
  • Whit Merrifield is batting .274 with four doubles, three home runs and six walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Royals (+105)

Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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