Mets Vs Phillies: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 30, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 30, 2021

Coming off of a 0-2 series loss to the Red Sox, the New York Mets (9-10) are -157 favorites to pick up the win in Game 1 of a three-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies (12-13). The series begins at Citizens Bank Park, starting on Friday at 7:05 PM ET on MLB Network. New York’s Marcus Stroman gets the start, and he’ll go against Philadelphia’s Chase Anderson.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 30, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Mets vs Phillies Betting Lines

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets have won seven, or 46.7%, of the 15 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • This season, New York has won four of its nine games, or 44.4%, when favored by at least -157 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 58.9% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Mets and their opponents are 1-8-1 in their last 10 games with a total.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.4
HR 9
ERA 3.48
K/9 10.4

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been victorous in six, or 42.9%, of the 14 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Philadelphia has been listed as an underdog of +135 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 41.1% chance of pulling out a win.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Phillies and their foes are 5-5 in their previous 10 contests.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 13
ERA 5.13
K/9 9.3

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Chase Anderson

  • Anderson gets the start for the Phillies, his fifth of the season. He is 0-3 with a 6.48 ERA and 13 strikeouts in 16 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday against the Rockies, when he went 3 2/3 innings, allowing six earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • The 33-year-old has put together a 6.48 ERA and 7 strikeouts per nine innings in four games this season, while giving up a batting average of .250 to opposing batters.
  • Anderson is looking to collect his second start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
  • The Phillies were the moneyline underdog for three Anderson starts this season — they lost all of the games.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 30, 2021 at 2:11 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Mets Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 9-10
Home 6-4
Road 3-6
vs LHP (Starters) 1-2
vs RHP (Starters) 8-8
Day Games 3-3
Night Games 6-7

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Marcus Stroman

  • Stroman (3-1) will take the mound for the Mets, his fifth start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up four earned runs in four innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Nationals.
  • Among qualified major league pitchers this season, the 29-year-old’s ERA ranks 16th in ERA.
  • His team is 3-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 30, 2021 at 2:11 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Phillies Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 12-13
Home 8-4
Road 4-9
vs LHP (Starters) 3-3
vs RHP (Starters) 9-10
Day Games 6-3
Night Games 6-10

Mets Hitting Stats

  • The Mets are last in MLB play with 15 home runs.
  • The Mets average 0.8 homers per road game this season (seven total away from home).
  • New York has hit nine home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Brandon Nimmo has been key for New York with one home run, eight RBI and a batting average of .345 this season.
  • Pete Alonso is batting .250 this season with a team-high five home runs and 12 RBI.

Phillies Hitting Stats

  • The Phillies rank 21st in Major League Baseball with 26 home runs.
  • In 12 games at home this season, they’ve hit 12 homers, an average of 1 per contest.
  • Philadelphia has hit 13 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Bryce Harper has five doubles, six home runs and 14 walks while batting .321.
  • J.T. Realmuto is batting .329 with five doubles, a triple, two home runs and nine walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Mets (-157)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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