Cardinals Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 30, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 30, 2021

The St. Louis Cardinals (13-12) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (12-12) on Friday to start a three-game series, with the first pitch at 6:35 PM ET from PNC Park. The Cardinals are listed as -114 favorites, while the underdog Pirates have -103 odds on the moneyline. John Gant starts for St. Louis while Pittsburgh will counter with JT Brubaker.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 30, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Cardinals vs Pirates Betting Lines

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have been favorites in 15 games this season and won eight (53.3%) of those contests.
  • St. Louis is 5-4 this season when entering a game favored by -114 or more on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 51.2% chance to win.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Cardinals and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 11
ERA 2.33
K/9 9.0

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been victorous in 11, or 47.8%, of the 23 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 11 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least -103 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 48.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • When it comes to the total, the Pirates and their foes are 4-6 in their last 10 contests.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 8
ERA 3.64
K/9 9.2

Pirates Probable Pitcher – JT Brubaker

  • Brubaker makes the start for the Pirates, his fifth of the season. He is 2-1 with a 2.01 ERA and 23 strikeouts over 22 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Saturday, the right-hander threw seven innings against the Twins, allowing two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • The 27-year-old has a 2.01 ERA and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings over four games this season, while allowing a batting average of .198 to opposing batters.
  • Brubaker will look to go five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
  • The Pirates have a 2-2 record in Brubaker’s four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 30, 2021 at 2:12 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cardinals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 13-12
Home 7-6
Road 6-6
vs LHP (Starters) 3-2
vs RHP (Starters) 10-10
Day Games 6-6
Night Games 7-6

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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – John Gant

  • The Cardinals will hand the ball to Gant (1-2) for his fifth start of the season.
  • The right-hander did not allow a run in six innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Reds.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched in four games this season with a 2.25 ERA, 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings and a batting average against of .247.
  • Gant has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • His team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 30, 2021 at 2:12 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 12-12
Home 5-4
Road 7-8
vs LHP (Starters) 1-4
vs RHP (Starters) 11-8
Day Games 4-3
Night Games 8-9

Cardinals Hitting Stats

  • The Cardinals rank sixth-best in baseball with 31 total home runs.
  • The Cardinals have hit 19 home runs on the road this season (1.6 per game).
  • St. Louis has hit 11 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Dylan Carlson has been key for St. Louis with 24 hits, an OBP of .365 plus a slugging percentage of .500.
  • Nolan Arenado has 24 hits and an OBP of .298 to go with a slugging percentage of .433 this season.

Pirates Hitting Stats

  • The Pirates have hit just 20 homers this season, which ranks 28th in the league.
  • They’ve hit two or more homers in five games this season and are 3-2 in those matchups.
  • Over the last 10 games, Pittsburgh has hit eight home runs.
  • Bryan Reynolds is batting .287 with six doubles, two home runs and 13 walks.
  • Colin Moran has shown his power as he paces his team with four home runs and 17 RBI.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Cardinals (-114)

Over/Under Pick: Under (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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