Red Sox Vs Rangers: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 29, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 29, 2021

The Boston Red Sox (16-9) visit the Texas Rangers (10-15) at 8:05 PM ET on Thursday for a sluggers’ duel between two of the best home-run hitters in MLB. J.D. Martinez has racked up seven homers this season, fourth in the league, for the favored Red Sox (-122), while Nick Solak ranks fourth in the majors with seven dingers of his own this season for the underdogs. Martin Perez starts for Boston while Kyle Gibson is Texas’ starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 29, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Red Sox vs Rangers Betting Lines

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • This season, the Red Sox have won eight out of the 16 games, or 50%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • This season, Boston has won six of its 12 games, or 50%, when favored by at least -122 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 53% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 9
ERA 3.84
K/9 10.2

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Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have been victorous in 10, or 43.5%, of the 23 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Texas has a win-loss record of 9-13 when favored by +105 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 47% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Rangers and their opponents are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 13
ERA 4.83
K/9 7.6

Rangers Probable Pitcher – Kyle Gibson

  • The Rangers will send Gibson (2-0) to the mound for his sixth start of the season. He is 2-0 with a 2.30 ERA and 23 strikeouts over 27 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His last appearance was on Saturday against the White Sox, when the right-hander tossed six innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up six hits.
  • The 33-year-old ranks 17th in ERA among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.
  • Gibson is seeking his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per start.
  • The Rangers have been the underdog on the moneyline in five of Gibson’s starts this season, and they went 3-2 in those matchups.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 29, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Red Sox Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 16-9
Home 8-8
Road 8-1
vs LHP (Starters) 7-3
vs RHP (Starters) 9-6
Day Games 0-1
Night Games 16-8

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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Martín Pérez

  • Perez (0-1) will take the mound for the Red Sox, his fifth start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw 3 2/3 innings against the Mariners, giving up two earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 5.71, a 1.7 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.670 in four games this season.
  • His team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 29, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Rangers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 10-15
Home 4-8
Road 6-7
vs LHP (Starters) 7-4
vs RHP (Starters) 3-11
Day Games 2-2
Night Games 8-13

Red Sox Hitting Stats

  • The Red Sox rank 18th in MLB play with 27 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.
  • The Red Sox have won each of the five games this season when they hit at least a pair of homers.
  • Boston has hit nine home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Martinez is batting .337 this season with a team-high seven home runs and 21 RBI.
  • Xander Bogaerts leads Boston in batting with a .348 average while slugging three homers and driving in 12 runs.

Rangers Hitting Stats

  • The Rangers’ 29 home runs rank 13th in Major League Baseball.
  • In 12 games at home this season, they’ve hit 12 homers, an average of 1 per contest.
  • Texas has 13 homers over its last 10 games.
  • Solak paces the Rangers with seven home runs and has racked up a team-best batting average of .319.
  • Nate Lowe’s 22 runs batted in pace his team.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Red Sox (-122)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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