Yankees Vs Orioles: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 29, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 29, 2021

Led by Mike Ford (on a two-game homer streak), the New York Yankees (11-13) are favorites to win against the Baltimore Orioles (10-14) on Thursday at 1:05 PM ET. Bookmakers have named the Yankees as -182 favorites for the game, which airs on MLB Network. New York’s Jordan Montgomery gets the start, and he’ll go against Baltimore’s Jorge Lopez.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 29, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Yankees vs Orioles Betting Lines

Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have won 10, or 45.5%, of the 22 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • This season, New York has won four of its eight games when favored by at least -182 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 62.2% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents are 2-8 when it comes to hitting the over.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 17
ERA 2.66
K/9 9.3

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Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have been underdogs in 20 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (45%) in those contests.
  • Baltimore has a win-loss record of 1-2 when favored by +155 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 37.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • In their last 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, the Orioles and their opponents are 2-8 when it comes to hitting the over.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.9
HR 8
ERA 3.41
K/9 8.3

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Jorge López

  • Lopez (1-3 with an 8.15 ERA and 18 strikeouts in 17 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Orioles, his fifth of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Friday against the Athletics, when he threw four innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 8.15, with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings in four games this season. Opponents are hitting .257 against him.
  • Lopez will try to record his second outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 4.1 innings per appearance.
  • The Orioles have been the moneyline underdog in four of Lopez’s starts this season, and they went 1-3 in those games.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 29, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Yankees Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 11-13
Home 4-7
Road 7-6
vs LHP (Starters) 3-4
vs RHP (Starters) 8-9
Day Games 0-2
Night Games 11-11

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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Jordan Montgomery

  • The Yankees will hand the ball to Montgomery (1-1) for his fifth start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings while giving up three earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Indians.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched in four games this season with a 4.57 ERA, 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings and a batting average against of .190.
  • When he starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-1.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 29, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Orioles Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 10-14
Home 3-10
Road 7-4
vs LHP (Starters) 2-6
vs RHP (Starters) 8-8
Day Games 0-1
Night Games 10-13

Yankees Hitting Stats

  • The Yankees rank fourth-best in MLB action with 32 total home runs.
  • The Yankees average 1.7 homers per road game this season (22 total away from home).
  • New York has hit 17 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Gio Urshela leads New York in runs batted in with 15 and has a batting average of .278.
  • Aaron Judge has 20 hits and an OBP of .385 to go with a slugging percentage of .500 this season.

Orioles Hitting Stats

  • The Orioles’ 22 home runs rank 24th in Major League Baseball.
  • They have won five of the eight games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Baltimore has eight homers over its last 10 games.
  • Cedric Mullins has accumulated a team-best batting average of .340.
  • Maikel Franco has capitalized on opportunities as he paces his team with 17 runs batted in.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Orioles (+155)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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